New Jersey Pensions Are the Least Generous in the U.S. For New Teachers

Every child deserves a high-quality education, and every teacher who dedicates their career to this mission deserves financial security in retirement. Yet, in New Jersey, new teachers are getting a raw deal. As the state struggles with a growing teacher shortage, one major barrier to recruitment and retention is compensation — not just salaries, but also retirement benefits.

Compared to states with similar pension programs, New Jersey’s retirement benefits for newly hired teachers are the least generous in the nation. Among the 38 states with defined benefit pension plans for public school teachers, New Jersey ranks dead last. This is largely due to a combination of policy choices: a low “benefit factor” (the percentage of salary that accrues toward a pension each year), a high retirement age, a long vesting period, a lengthy average salary calculation period, and the absence of cost-of-living adjustments.

These shortfalls stem from policy changes made in 2011 through Chapter 78, which created a new pension tier (Tier 5) for teachers hired after that year. These changes raised contribution rates, increased the retirement age, and cut the value of benefits — leaving today’s teachers with the weakest defined benefit pension plans in the country.

If New Jersey wants to attract and retain the highly qualified, diverse educator workforce that students deserve, the state must reform its pension system. Eliminating Tier 5 and restoring fairer benefits would bring the state closer in line with national standards and help ensure that the teachers shaping our future can retire with dignity.

Background

Like many other states, New Jersey is facing a teacher shortage.[1] As the New Jersey Policy Perspective (NJPP) has reported, the state now enrolls significantly fewer teacher candidates in preparation programs than it did a decade ago, signaling an alarming trend in the educator pipeline.[2] Compensation remains a major obstacle to attracting and retaining teachers, with research consistently showing that lower pay and weaker benefits reduce recruitment and retention.[3]

Teacher Retirement Plan Types

·    Defined Benefit: Employees contribute a percentage of their income throughout their careers and receive a guaranteed benefit upon retirement. Defined benefit plans are what are typically thought of as “pensions.”

·    Defined Contribution: Both employees and employers contribute to the plan, but the retirement benefit is not predetermined. Instead, the final amount depends on contributions and investment performance. These plans function similarly to 401(k)s in the private sector.

·    Hybrid: Plans that combine elements of both defined benefit and defined contribution plans. Hybrid plans often have a defined benefit component that requires relatively smaller contributions than full defined benefit plans, but also have a smaller benefit factor.

Strong retirement benefits can help offset lower salaries by increasing overall compensation; however, New Jersey’s pension system has moved in the opposite direction. Over the last decade, teachers have paid more into their pensions while receiving less in return.

Chapter 78, passed in 2011, not only increased employee contribution rates to record highs but also created a new pension tier, “Tier 5,” for teachers hired after June 2011. [4] Compared to earlier tiers, Tier 5 raised the normal retirement age and lowered the benefit factor — the amount a pension grows with each year of service as a percentage of a teacher’s final salary. As a result, Chapter 78 hits new teachers the hardest, just as the state needs more qualified workers to consider entering and staying in the profession.

In 2017, NJPP published a report quantifying the damage caused by Chapter 78, finding that New Jersey’s pensions were already among the least generous in the country. [5]  This updated analysis, using refined methods and the most recent data, finds that little has changed. Without action to address the state’s inadequate retirement benefits for new teachers, New Jersey will continue to struggle to attract and retain the high-quality educators its students deserve.

Ranking Pension Generosity

Retirement programs for teachers vary widely between states, making direct comparisons complex. However, there are various factors many plans have in common. This report compares these factors and ranks their relative value for plan members. It then weighs each factor and averages a state’s rank to arrive at a final grade. Further details can be found in the Appendix.

There are three main types of teacher pensions: defined benefit, defined contribution, and hybrid (see box above). Figure 1 shows that most teacher retirement plans for recent members are defined benefit plans, although several states have moved to hybrid plans. Since defined contribution plans introduce market variables that complicate direct comparisons, this analysis focuses exclusively on the 38 states with defined benefit plans, including New Jersey.

New Jersey Has a "Defined Benefit" Pension Plan For Teachers Like Most States

Defined benefit plans have six major factors in common that affect their generosity:

  1. Benefit Factor: The percentage of a salary accrued annually toward the pension and the key factor of a pension’s payout (see below).
  2. Contribution Rate: The percentage of a salary that must be contributed.
  3. Average Salary Determination: The salary used to calculate benefits.
  4. Vesting Period: The number of years required before pension benefits are guaranteed.
  5. Normal Retirement Age: The earliest age at which a teacher can receive benefits without penalty.
  6. Cost of Living Allowance (COLA): The increases to the benefit to account for inflation.

 

Since the benefit factor and contribution rate directly affect a teacher’s benefits, they are weighted twice as heavily as the other four factors when determining a final grade.

Findings

Benefit Factor

Pension benefits follow a basic formula to determine a benefit:

Benefit Factor x Years Employed x Average Salary Determination = Benefit[6]

The benefit factor — sometimes called the retirement multiplier — is the percentage of an employee’s average salary they receive as a pension benefit for every year employed. For example, a teacher who works for 30 years and has a final average salary of $100,000 would receive a pension plan of $30,000 with a benefit factor of 1.0:

1.0 (benefit factor, divided by 100) x 30 (years) x $100,000 (salary) = $30,000

With a benefit factor of 2.0, their pension benefit would double:

2.0 (benefit factor, divided by 100) x 30 (years) x $100,000 (salary) = $60,000

A higher benefit factor means a larger pension benefit. Relative to other states, New Jersey’s benefit factor for new teachers is quite small — ranking sixth lowest among the 38 states with a 1.67 benefit factor.[7]

New Jersey's Pension Benefit Factor is Among the Lowest in the Nation

Contribution Rate

Teachers’ pensions have two funding sources: employer contributions from state or local revenues and employee contributions from teachers’ paychecks. Higher contribution rates mean that teachers pay more for their pensions. At 7.5 percent, New Jersey’s contribution rate ranks in the middle at 18th out of 38.

New Jersey's Teacher Pension Contribution Rate is Typical

Average Salary Determination

Pension benefits are calculated as a percentage of a teacher’s average salary. The average is based on some number of years when the teacher’s salary was highest. Because most teachers earn more at the end of their careers, and because their salary goes up each year, an average salary determination based on fewer years leads to a higher benefit than a salary based on more years.

As an example: A teacher in 2020 makes $80,000, and her salary increases by 2 percent each year. The average of her last five years is $83,265; however, the average of her last three years is $84,908. A pension based on a three-year average is, therefore, larger than a pension based on a five-year average. In other words, more generous pensions have average salary determinations based on smaller numbers of years.

Average Salary Determinations based on fewers years lead to better pensions: An example.

Currently, New Jersey uses five years to determine the average salary, which puts our state tied with 20 other states in terms of average salary determination. Fifteen states use a lower number of years, and two use a higher number of years.

New Jersey Has a Longer Than Average Salary Determination Period Than Most States

Vesting Period

The vesting period is the length of time a member must work before being guaranteed a pension benefit. New Jersey, like eight other states, requires ten years of service to become vested.

New Jersey's Teachers Take the Longest to Vest in Their Pension Than Other States

Normal Retirement Age

While pension systems can offer options for early retirement, there is usually a penalty for doing so. Normal retirement age is when a member can receive their full pension benefit. While some states have simple age and work years requirements, others use more complex formulas that change the normal retirement age based on when a member started work. For simplicity’s sake, this report gives the normal retirement age for each state, assuming that a teacher entered the state’s retirement plan at age 25.

In this report’s sample of 38 states, the normal retirement age for new teachers ranges from 53 to 67. At 65, novice teachers in New Jersey have one of the highest normal retirement ages in the country.

New Jersey Has One of the Highest Average Retirement Ages

Cost of Living Allowance

Most states offer some increase in benefits for retirees to offset the effects of inflation. The terms of these cost-of-living allowances (COLAs) vary widely. To simplify things, this report examined two factors: 1) whether or not there is a COLA and 2) whether the COLA is automatic or “ad hoc,” meaning it is only granted when some governing body allows it. New Jersey is only one of four states that has no COLA.

New Jersey is One of Four States Where Defined Benefit Teachers Pensions Have No Cost of Living Allowances

Overall Grade

New Jersey Among the Least Generous Pensions in the Nation For New Teachers

Compared to states with similar retirement plans, New Jersey has the least generous pensions for new teachers in the nation, earning an overall grade of “F.” The state’s low benefit factor, lengthy vesting period, high normal retirement age, lack of a COLA, and high average salary determination period all combine to make New Jersey’s pension for new teachers the stingiest in the nation. See Appendix for more information on the methodology for scoring and letter grades.

In some states, Social Security benefits are not available to teachers; in these cases, teachers do not pay FICA taxes, which is a U.S. federal payroll tax. While the overall grade in this report is not affected by a state’s Social Security status, the information is included in the Appendix. Even if all states that did not participate in Social Security for teachers were excluded from this analysis, New Jersey would still rank last in pension generosity. The role of Social Security in teacher retirement is discussed further in the Supplement.

Recommendations and Conclusion

In 2016, then-Governor Chris Christie claimed that New Jersey teachers had “gold-plated pensions.”[8] However, as NJPP pointed out in 2017,[9] that was simply not true when compared to other states. Teachers’ pensions in New Jersey were some of the least generous in the nation.

Today, new teachers in New Jersey’s pension system continue to face significant disadvantages. They suffer from a low benefit factor, a mediocre contribution rate, a high salary determination and retirement age, and no COLA. By any standard, New Jersey’s newest teachers get a worse deal on their retirement benefits than their colleagues in other states. This inequity is particularly concerning considering that three-quarters of teachers in the state are women — further exacerbating the gender pay gap.[10] A fair pension system is not just about financial security in retirement; it is about recognizing and respecting educators for their service.

To fix this, policymakers must act now to restore fairness in New Jersey’s teacher pension system. The most effective solution is to eliminate Tier 5 and extend more equitable benefits to all teachers. This change would bring New Jersey’s pension system closer to national standards, making the profession more attractive to new educators while ensuring that long-serving teachers can retire with dignity. However, simply eliminating Tier 5 and transitioning all teachers to Tier 1 would not fully align New Jersey with more generous pension systems in other states. While it would mark significant progress, many states would still provide more generous benefits than New Jersey. (See supplement for methodology.)

Governor Murphy’s administration has helped New Jersey make great strides toward meeting its long overdue pension obligations.[11] But if the state wants to recruit and retain well-educated workers into its schools, it must stop using the excuse of previous underfunding to justify inadequate teacher pension benefits. Eliminating Tier 5 is a reasonable step toward pension fairness for the people who educate our children and shape New Jersey’s future.

Appendix: Data and Methods

Data

Data for this report come from the National Association of State Retirement Administrators (NASRA), the foremost authority on public pensions. Data were extracted from these documents:

 

As a data check, NASRA’s data was compared to a report recently issued by the Wisconsin Legislative Council in 2024.[12] When the two data sources conflicted, the author went to the state in question’s website and used the information provided.

Methodology

The sample used is restricted to states with defined benefit retirement plans for teachers. States were ranked in all six metrics (ties were ranked at the mean of the states’ ranks). The final score is the average (mean) of the ranks, with the benefit factor and contribution rate ranks weighted twice as much as the others.

New Jersey Has the Least Generous Teacher Pensions for New hires in the Nation

For the letter grades, the author converted the rank means into standard deviations and assigned grades based on this distribution.

Standard deviations table

Supplement: Modeling Pension Generosity

While retirement age, COLAs, vesting periods, and average salary determination are important measures of a pension’s generosity, arguably the two most important factors are the benefit factor and the contribution rate. The first directly affects the value of the pension benefit, and the second determines how much an employee pays to get that benefit.

Logically, members would expect that the more they pay into a pension, the more they would get out of it. In other words, states with higher contribution rates should have, on average, higher benefit factors. The figure below shows a significant correlation (r-sq = 0.38) between the benefit factor and contribution rate.

But the correlation is hardly perfect. Some states have higher benefit factors than their contribution rates would predict, and some have lower. New Jersey, for example, has a slightly higher contribution rate (7.5%) than Arkansas (7.0%). However, Arkansas’s benefit factor (2.15) is much higher than New Jersey’s (1.67). Arkansas teachers enjoy a more generous pension multiplier than New Jersey teachers, even though they contribute a smaller portion of their income.

The amount that the benefit factor is above or below what the contribution rate predicts is the “value-added” of that state’s pension: the amount more or less than predicted, based on other states’ pensions, that a member receives in benefits based on what they contributed. Teachers in states with a higher value-added amount enjoy more generous pensions as evaluated by these two critical factors; teachers in lower value-added states have less generous pensions.

Benefit Factor Vs. Contribution Rate for Teacher Pensions

The figure above also shows that states that do not offer Social Security benefits for their teachers (the green markers) tend to have higher value-added amounts. They sit higher above the trendline, which is the model’s prediction of the benefit factor given the contribution rate. To put it more simply, states do not have to pay the employer’s share of Social Security taxes on behalf of their teachers and may use those funds to increase the benefit factor.

To account for this, the author runs a regression model with Social Security as a factor variable. The estimates are below; the model allows us to calculate the predicted benefit factor for each state and compare it to the actual benefit factor (resulting in the residual).

Dependent Variable: Benefit Factor, New Hires

Using this model, New Jersey’s predicted benefit factor is 1.88. Its actual benefit factor for Tier 5, as discussed above, is 1.67, and its benefit factor for Tier 1 is 1.82. While the Tier 1 benefit factor is still below the prediction, it is much closer than Tier 5. Raising the Tier 5 benefit factor to Tier 1’s would go a long way toward making New Jersey’s pension benefits for new teachers more like those in other states.

Disclosure

Mark Weber is the Special Analyst for Education Policy at the New Jersey Policy Perspective, and a Lecturer in education policy and law at Rutgers University, New Brunswick. Weber is also a teacher in the Warren Township Schools, Somerset Country; as such, he is a member of the New Jersey Teachers’ Pension and Annuity Fund (TPAF). Weber is in Tier 1; the recommendations in this report would not affect his retirement benefits.


End Notes

[1] Nikita Biryukov (September 3, 2024). “New Jersey districts still face teacher shortages as new school year begins.” New Jersey Monitor. https://newjerseymonitor.com/2024/09/03/new-jersey-districts-still-face-teacher-shortages-as-new-school-year-begins/

[2] Weber, M. (2022). New Jersey’s Teacher Pipeline: The Decline in Teacher Candidates Continues. https://www.njpp.org/publications/report/new-jerseys-teacher-pipeline-the-decline-in-teacher-candidates-continues/

[3] Allegretto, S. (September 12, 2024). Teacher pay rises in 2023—but not enough to shrink pay gap with other college graduates. Economic Policy Institute. https://www.epi.org/publication/teacher-pay-in-2023/
Weber, M. (September, 2019). In Brief: New Jersey’s Teacher Workforce, 2019; Diversity Lags, Wage Gap Persists. New Jersey Policy Perspective. https://www.njpp.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/NJPP-In-Brief-Teacher-Workforce-Report-Final.pdf

Kemper Patrick, S. & Carver-Thomas, D. (2022). Teacher Salaries: A Key Factor in Recruitment and Retention.  Learning Policy Institute. https://learningpolicyinstitute.org/blog/teacher-salaries-key-factor-recruitment-and-retention

Steiner, E., Woo, A., Doan, S. (November 20, 2024). Larger Pay Increases and Adequate Benefits Could Improve Teacher Retention. RAND Corporation. https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA1108-13.html

[4] New Jersey Treasury. “Pension and Health Benefits Reform Under Chapter 78, P.L. 2011.” https://www.nj.gov/treasury/pensions/reform-2011.shtml

[5] Herzenberg, S. and White, J. (December 13, 2017). New Jersey Public Pensions Rank Among Least Generous in the Nation. New Jersey Policy Perspective. http://www.njpp.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/NJ-Pension-Brief-12-13-17-Final.pdf

[6] National Association of State Retirement Administrators. “Defined Benefit.” https://www.nasra.org/db

[7] In some states, benefit factors are based on variables such as years of service and age of retirement. To standardize these figures for comparison, we use the benefit factor for a teacher who begins work at age 25 and retires at the state’s “normal” retirement age. We also elect not to use the NASRA’s reported benefit factor for Massachusetts, which does not align with figures reported by the state; instead, we assume a retirement at 60 and a start age of 25 (see: https://mtrs.state.ma.us/members/#retiring-from-mtrs). We also use the “RetirementPlus” formula, as new members are automatically enrolled (see: https://mtrs.state.ma.us/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/retirementpercentagechart-tier2.pdf)

[8] Star-Ledger Editorial Board (January 17, 2016). “Stop demonizing teachers, governor; Editorial.” The Star-Ledger. https://www.nj.com/opinion/2016/01/christie_has_no_right_to_demonize_teachers_editori.html

[9] Herzenberg, S. and White, J. (December 13, 2017). New Jersey Public Pensions Rank Among Least Generous in the Nation. New Jersey Policy Perspective. http://www.njpp.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/NJ-Pension-Brief-12-13-17-Final.pdf

[10] Gould, E. (March 8, 2024) Gender wage gap persists in 2023; Women are paid roughly 22% less than men on average. Economic Policy Institute.https://www.epi.org/blog/gender-wage-gap-persists-in-2023-women-are-paid-roughly-22-less-than-men-on-average/

[11] New Jersey Treasury (October 31, 2024). “New Jersey’s Pension Fund Reports 10.74% Returns for FY2024.” https://www.nj.gov/treasury/news/2024/10312024.shtml

[12] Wisconsin Legislative Council. 2023-24 Comparative Study Of Major Public Employee Retirement Systems, October 2024. https://docs.legis.wisconsin.gov/misc/lc/comparative_retirement_study/2023_retirement.pdf

Eliminating the U.S. Department of Education Would Devastate New Jersey’s Communities

Today, President Donald Trump signed an executive order to direct Education Secretary Linda McMahon to begin taking steps to close the U.S. Department of Education (USED). The executive order’s directive to “ensure the effective and uninterrupted delivery of services, programs, and benefits on which Americans rely” would be impossible without full staffing and funding for the Department’s experts. The Trump Administration’s efforts to weaken or dismantle USED raise legal and policy concerns as only an act of Congress can completely dissolve the Department. In response, New Jersey Policy Perspective (NJPP) released the following statement:

Mark Weber, Special Analyst for Education Policy, NJPP:

“Any weakening of USED would have far-reaching and long-term disastrous effects nationwide and on New Jersey’s communities, especially for children in school districts with historically higher concentrations of poverty. Even if Congress chose to eliminate USED, much of its work would have to be offloaded to other departments or agencies, undermining efforts to improve efficiency and reduce spending.

“This latest executive order is an illegal attempt to realize a far-right goal outlined in Project 2025 — and ultimately, it is the first step toward dismantling public education as a whole. However, New Jersey’s schools are among the best in the nation and its residents are strong believers in public schools and college access. Once again, the president demonstrates he is severely out of touch with the values that make the Garden State great.”

Read NJPP’s latest analysis on the federal administration’s efforts to dismantle USED.

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Dismantling U.S. Dept. of Ed. is Costly and Inefficient for New Jersey

A strong education system is fundamental to opportunity, economic mobility, and the long-term success of our communities. The Trump Administration’s efforts to weaken or dismantle the U.S. Department of Education (USED) raise both legal and policy concerns. Only an act of Congress can dissolve the Department; until then, the President has an obligation to keep it staffed and fully functioning. Furthermore, even if Congress were to choose to eliminate USED, much of its work would have to be offloaded to other departments or agencies, undermining efforts to improve efficiency and reduce spending.

Title I grants, for example, must still be distributed according to federal law.[1] These Congressionally-mandated grants specifically support schools serving large numbers of students from low-income backgrounds; they cannot be halted by any administration, even if the Department is dissolved. Over many years, USED staff have developed expertise in data collection and grant administration, ensuring that complex Title I funding formulas are accurately implemented and that schools receive critically important resources.[2] Eliminating that institutional expertise  — only to have to rebuild it elsewhere — would be an inefficient use of both time and taxpayer money.

In 2022, about 7 percent of the revenues for New Jersey’s school districts came from federal sources.[3] Districts with higher concentrations of poverty, however, are more reliant on federal aid; in Camden, for example, nearly 15 percent of revenues came from federal sources. Slashing this funding would have devastating effects on the school districts serving our most economically disadvantaged children.

New Jersey’s colleges also rely heavily on USED and the federal funding it distributes. In 2024, New Jersey’s postsecondary students received nearly $1 billion in federal grants and an additional $1.6 billion in federal direct student loans.[4] Until recently, the Department has also played a significant role in protecting students’ civil rights on college campuses. Weakening or eliminating the Department would put the rights of students, faculty, and staff in jeopardy at New Jersey’s universities and colleges.

Dismantling USED would have far-reaching and long-term disastrous effects both nationwide and for communities across New Jersey. As the state grapples with a structural budget deficit, lawmakers must prioritize defending the critical programs, policies, and federal spending that support New Jersey students and schools.


End Notes

[1] https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R47702

[2] https://nces.ed.gov/pubs2019/2019016.pdf

[3] Author’s calculation from data published by the US Census: https://www.census.gov/data/tables/2022/econ/school-finances/secondary-education-finance.html

[4]
https://www.ed.gov/about/ed-overview/annual-performance-reports/budget/us-department-of-education-budget-history

New Jersey Must Embrace an Educational Policy of Inclusion, Truth, Respect, and Academic Excellence

Yesterday, President Donald Trump signed three executive orders to direct federal agencies to “end indoctrination” in K-12 education, investigate campus protests, and enact a federal school choice voucher initiative. These orders seek to block federal funding for schools that affirm transgender students’ gender identity, censor the teaching of American history, specifically on race and slavery, and direct the Department of Education to prioritize school choice in discretionary grant programs. In response, New Jersey Policy Perspective (NJPP) released the following statement.

Mark Weber, NJPP, Special Analyst for Education Policy:

“This is a gross overreach of federal power and antithetical to the values that New Jersey aspires to uphold. The federal government has always had a limited role in K-12 education. The U.S. Constitution does not explicitly guarantee children the right to attend publicly-funded schools — but the New Jersey Constitution does.

“New Jersey has long been a leader in education and has made significant strides in expanding access to quality education for all students, regardless of their backgrounds. These executive orders would dismantle that progress by undermining protections for LGBTQ+ students, censoring discussions on race and history, and promoting policies that divert resources away from public schools.

“New Jersey aspires to affirm the dignity of every child, no matter their gender; to teach the truth about our state’s and our nation’s history, including the abuses and discrimination visited by many of our ancestors; and to protect the constitutional rights of its students and educators, including the rights to free speech and to peaceably assemble.

“Unlike private schools, New Jersey expects its public school districts to provide an adequate education for every student who comes to its doors, regardless of gender, race, ethnicity, religion, or immigration status. Public schools are the backbone of our economy and society, and policies that weaken them only deepen inequalities.

“The state’s education system hasn’t always lived up to the state’s ideals; NJPP has documented many of the challenges that remain, starting with a school funding system in need of immediate reform. But the Trump agenda of transphobia, school privatization, and whitewashing history is not compatible with the values that make New Jersey great. We urge all state leaders, educators, parents, and students to reject this administration’s blatantly unconstitutional orders and, instead, embrace an educational policy of inclusion, truth, respect, and academic excellence.”

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Reforming School Funding in New Jersey: Equity For Taxpayers, Excellence For Students

Executive Summary

There is growing consensus among New Jersey’s legislators, school leaders, educators, and other stakeholders: It’s time for the legislature to implement long-needed changes to its K-12 funding law, the School Funding Reform Act (SFRA). This report provides guidance for revising SFRA, focusing specifically on the issue of school revenues.

New Jersey’s local property taxes are less regressive than in neighboring states; this is, in no small part, due to the state school aid provided by SFRA. However, funding for schools has declined as a percentage of the state’s economy, suggesting there is room for improvement. To raise adequate funding, SFRA advises a local contribution from each school district; however, the calculation of that “Local Fair Share” (LFS) is not transparent, resulting in local tax inequities across otherwise similar school districts.

Specifically, this report examines how factors other than district wealth affect tax equity. Although the former Abbott districts pay less than similar districts in school taxes, their overall local tax burden (which includes municipal taxes) is similar. Disturbingly, districts with larger populations of students of color, especially Latinx/Hispanic students, pay much higher total tax rates than similarly wealthy districts. This report also finds that districts with larger shares of non-residential property raise more local revenue, even though districts are expected to contribute less under SFRA.

Given these findings, this report recommends that New Jersey reevaluate the revenue calculations in SFRA, paying particular attention to the effects on tax equity that arise from setting the property and income rates. The Department of Education should develop a set of indicators to monitor school property tax, total property tax, and overall tax equity, both at the local and state level. Given this report’s findings of inequitable tax rates for communities of color, these indicators should evaluate disparities in tax rates by race, ethnicity, and income.

This report also recommends that, once valid and equitable LFS amounts are calculated, localities should be required by the state to provide that share to their schools if they are below their adequacy threshold — adequacy as defined as the amount of funding needed for a school district to provide a constitutionally mandated, high-quality education — with the understanding that the state will also provide the aid needed for districts to reach their adequacy targets. Districts facing tax increases should be able to phase in those increases over time. To aid in the collection of these local revenues, non-residential properties should be taxed at the regional or state level, allowing for a more equitable distribution of revenues to the districts where they are most needed.

Finally, this report’s appendices include an update of earlier work focused on “adequacy” with a new analysis that supports previous recommendations: SFRA needs to be adjusted to provide more funding to the highest-poverty districts if they are to meet current, more rigorous standards.

Introduction

New Jersey’s public schools rely on a complex system of funding, drawing primarily from local and state taxes, with federal contributions playing a smaller, yet important, role. In 2008, the state’s School Funding Reform Act (SFRA) was enacted to ensure equitable distribution of state resources, particularly for districts with higher levels of poverty. However, the application of SFRA’s Local Fair Share (LFS) formula — determining how much a community should contribute based on its wealth and tax capacity — has led to significant disparities in local taxes.

In 2024, school funding became a contentious issue in New Jersey. Even as the state moved toward fully funding SFRA, some local districts objected to cuts in state aid. While subsequent legislation provided some relief to some of these districts, there is growing consensus that SFRA needs to be overhauled. Lawmakers are expected to propose changes to the formula at the heart of SFRA.

This report focuses on the revenue side of SFRA, examining how much the state expects school districts to raise through local property taxes. Specifically, it offers: (1) guidance on how to set valid “Local Fair Share” amounts for school districts, recognizing that different communities have varying capacities to raise local funds for schools; (2) recommends that SFRA should direct more state aid to communities that maintain relatively high tax rates but have lower property values, limiting their capacity to raise sufficient funds; and (3) suggests that the formula should set local fair share amounts that avoid regressive and inequitable tax rates, while ensuring that schools can secure the necessary revenues to provide a high-quality education.

Before the legislature begins this work, it’s important to take a step back and remember who SFRA affects and why its design is essential not only for school districts but all of New Jersey’s residents. Like all state school funding systems, SFRA was designed with two constituencies in mind:

  1. Students, who need adequately funded schools to receive a quality education
  2. Taxpayers, who should be taxed fairly based on their ability to pay

Regarding students: Statewide school funding systems, like New Jersey’s SFRA, are premised on the fact that different students in different contexts require different amounts of funding to reach the state’s outcome goals. For example, decades of research have shown that students in poverty, on average, require more resources in schools to achieve the same outcomes as more affluent students.[i] Students whose native language is not English or students with learning disabilities also require more resources to have more equitable educational opportunities.[ii]

Based on this research, New Jersey should be driving more resources toward school districts serving a greater number of students in poverty. In the decade before the Great Recession of 2008, the state was, in fact, doing just that: high-poverty districts were, on average, receiving considerably more revenues than low-poverty districts. This changed in 2010 by the end of the Christie administration when New Jersey’s highest- and lowest-poverty school districts were spending roughly the same amount per pupil. Appendix A presents more details.

SFRA was supposed to address the needs of higher-poverty school districts by setting higher funding targets for those districts. However, as previous reports have detailed, New Jersey still does not provide enough revenue for its highest-poverty school districts to meet the state’s current, rigorous educational goals.[iii] Appendix B includes an updated analysis of SFRA’s adequacy targets, revealing that the poverty weights in SFRA continue to be too low to meet state constitutional requirements.

Regarding taxpayers: A fair school funding system considers the wide differences in “tax capacity” — the ability to raise local revenues — between school districts. Keep in mind that local school revenues are raised almost entirely through property taxes. Districts with higher property values, per pupil, have an advantage over others: they can raise the necessary revenue to fund their schools without having to raise tax rates as high as districts with lower property values. Overall, districts with lots of property wealth can maintain relatively low tax rates while still generating the revenue their schools need.

SFRA was adopted, in part, to smooth out unevenness in school funding by providing statewide, systematic, and predictable adequacy budgets for all districts and children — not just the districts that were party to litigation. But SFRA also sets the share of those adequacy budgets that school districts will fund through local property taxes. By setting targets for spending and local revenue, SFRA attempts to allocate state revenues so that school funding is both adequate for students to receive an excellent education and fair for taxpayers.

Paying For Public Schools in New Jersey

Schools rely on three primary sources of revenue: local, state, and federal. As shown below (Figure 1), federal funding is a relatively small part of overall revenues. The majority of federal funding is allocated through programs such as Title I, which drives more revenues toward districts with higher poverty rates. These funds are supposed to “supplement, not supplant” other sources of funding.[iv] As a result, school funding systems focus primarily state and local revenue sources.

Figure 1

School Revenue is Largely Split Between State and Local Sources

Although overall school revenues in New Jersey are split nearly evenly between state and local taxes, the reliance on each revenue source varies widely across individual districts. SFRA requires more affluent districts to contribute more local funding to their schools because they have greater capacity to do so. Some districts get nearly all of their funding from local sources because they have greater property wealth and, therefore, greater tax capacity. Others get the majority of their revenues from the state because their property wealth and, therefore, tax capacity is relatively low. This approach helps to reduce the regressivity of New Jersey’s taxes; however, the current configuration of SFRA still results in substantial inequities in local property taxes. Correcting these inequities, which this report describes below, should be a primary objective of any reforms to SFRA.

To illustrate how different towns have different tax capacities, Table 1 shows data for three towns in Essex County. Millburn, which has very low child poverty, also has very high property values per pupil. Irvington, a town with high poverty, has comparatively low property values, while Belleville falls between the two. Because Irvington has much lower property values, it would have to tax itself at a much higher rate than Millburn to generate the same amount per pupil. In this illustration, the three districts all aim to raise $10,000 per pupil; but Irvington’s tax rate would need to be six times higher than Millburn’s to raise the same amount.

Table 1:

Wealthy Towns Can Afford Lower Property Tax Rates to Raise Similar Amounts of School Revenues: An Illustration from Essex County, NJ

As this example shows, without state aid, districts with low property values would have to pay much higher effective tax rates to fund their schools compared to districts with high property values. SFRA addresses this disparity by calculating a Local Fair Share (LFS): an amount local districts are expected to raise without imposing an undue tax burden. This report explores how SFRA calculates LFS, and how it could improve that calculation.

Appendix C further discusses the mix of taxes states use to fund schools, and the relative advantages or disadvantages of different revenue sources. To summarize: even though property taxes can be regressive, there are good reasons to include them in the mix of revenues used to fund schools. In a related analysis, Appendix D explores New Jersey’s tax effort: the percentage of the state’s economy devoted to K-12 education. Relative to other states, New Jersey does make a strong effort to fund its schools; however, given the decrease in effort following the Great Recession of 2008, there is still room for improvement.

Tax Progressivity in New Jersey and Its Neighbors

A tax system can be classified as either “progressive” or “regressive.” In a progressive tax system, taxes increase as income rises, whereas a regressive tax system requires low-wage workers to pay a greater share of their income in taxes than those with higher incomes. Because different taxes have different effects on tax equity, the mix of tax types in a state will affect its tax progressivity: the average differences in total effective tax rates for taxpayers of different incomes.

It is useful to compare New Jersey to its neighbors when assessing tax progressivity. Table 2 shows that individual property taxation in New Jersey is generally less regressive than Pennsylvania’s, and the lowest-income residents in New Jersey pay lower tax rates than their counterparts in New York. Any reforms of SFRA should not undermine this relative tax progressivity.

Table 2:

New Jersey's Least Wealthy Taxpayers Pay Lower Property Tax Rates Than in Neighboring States: Individual Property Taxes as a Share of Income in New Jersey and NeighborsLocal Fair Share

The core of SFRA’s revenue calculation is Local Fair Share (LFS). The theory behind SFRA’s LFS formula is that there is “fair” amount each community should pay to fund its schools, based on its capacity to raise revenues through local taxes. Once that amount is set, the state then comes in and provides additional funding to help school districts reach their adequacy targets. It’s important to note that until FY 2025, some districts have never received the full funding they were entitled to under SFRA to reach those targets.

Although local school revenues are almost entirely collected through property taxes, the school district’s tax capacity is determined by more than just property values. The LFS formula is:

Local Fair Share = [(District Aggregate Property Value * Property Rate) + (District Aggregate Personal Income * Income Rate)] / 2

Again, the theory behind LFS is that communities with less wealth — and, therefore, less tax capacity — should receive more state aid to fund their schools as they generate less from local property taxes than wealthier communities. This approach aims to make tax rates less regressive, if not fully progressive. However, in practice, the outcome doesn’t always align with this theory. To illustrate, we return to our three districts in Essex County, as shown in Table 3.

Table 3:

In New Jersey, The Wealthiest School Districts, and Some High-Poverty Districts, Have the Lowest School Tax Rates: An Illustration from Essex County, NJ

As expected, Millburn, with its significant property wealth, has a much higher LFS than Belleville, which in turn has a larger LFS than Irvington. But Millburn’s actual tax levy falls well below its LFS; this affluent town doesn’t need to raise taxes to its LFS level to adequately fund its schools and maintain its status as a high-performing district. Belleville, on the other hand, raises nearly exactly what its LFS calls for and has the highest effective school tax rate among the three communities. Unlike Irvington, Belleville was not party to the Abbott rulings; as discussed below, Abbott districts tend to have lower effective school tax rates than non-Abbott districts like Belleville. However, the total tax rates are not systemically lower in Abbott districts (see below), a crucial point when discussing how SFRA should calculate LFS.

Local Fair Share and Taxes

As mentioned above, the SFRA formula calculates a town’s LFS by multiplying its total property value by a property rate, and its total personal income by an income rate. The Education Commissioner determines both the property rate and the income rate. These rates vary annually and play a significant role in determining a district’s LFS and, consequently, the amount of state aid each district receives. By adjusting the rates, the Commissioner has the power to substantially alter the distribution of state aid to schools.

To illustrate the differences between property values and income as used in SFRA, Figure 2 shows (a) local fair share and (b) actual local revenue per pupil in relation to taxable property wealth per pupil; Figure 3 presents the same data but in relation to median household income. Overall, as property values or income increases, LFS and actual revenue also rise. However, the relationship between local fair share and taxable property wealth is stronger than the relationship between local fair share and median household income.[v] Likewise, the relationship between actual revenues and property wealth is stronger than the relationship between actual revenues and income.

Figure 2

New Jersey Expects Wealthier Districts to Pay More in School Taxes

Figure 3

"Local Fair Share" Correlates More Closely with Property Value Than With Income

Both property values and income are indicators of a district’s tax capacity; however, they do not always align perfectly. Figure 2 shows that the relationship between local fair share relationship and taxable property wealth is relatively consistent. As expected, districts with higher equalized property values contribute more toward their adequacy targets. Although some districts raise more than their LFS and others raise less, the variation is relatively minimal.

Figure 3, in contrast, shows the same trend but with a less consistent relationship between income and local share. Many districts are expected to raise relatively more revenues than their income levels would suggest, while others are expected to raise less.

Former Abbott districts, shown with a red marker, are typically very low in both taxable property wealth and median household income. Many of these districts continue to raise local revenue below their local fair share. This is due to primarily three reasons: First, funding to Abbott districts before SFRA was allocated without considering for local capacity, which allowed these districts to maintain very low school taxes — a practice that has persisted under the era of SFRA. Second, the local fair share is not a mandatory requirement; districts are not obligated to raise revenues equal to their LFS if they choose not to. Third, legal limits on tax increases prohibited these districts from raising taxes to meet the LFS requirement. Importantly, and as the analyses that follow show, the low school tax rates in these districts do not necessarily mean they have low total tax taxes.

The differences in the relationship between property values and local share versus income and local share highlight an important aspect of New Jersey’s school funding formula: The property and income rates set by SFRA have profound consequences for both school funding and local taxes. Changing one rate relative to the other will change a district’s LFS, even if the underlying tax capacity of that district remains the same. Again, the Education Commissioner set these rates, with no requirement to provide an explanation for how these rates are determined.

School Taxes vs. Total Local Taxes

School taxes represent only a portion of a locality’s total local taxes; additional revenues for other public services must also be raised through property taxes. Figure 4 shows effective school and total tax rates in relation to the Local Fair Share ratio for school districts.[vi] From left to right, districts generally range lower to higher in taxable wealth and income, which are key factors in determining local fair share requirements.

Effective school tax rates are relatively flat across the spectrum, with a slight increase in the middle. This suggests that state school aid over time has been effective in maintaining lower local school tax rates in the districts with the lowest wealth and income, thereby keeping those rates relatively equitable compared with wealthier districts. However, the same is not true for total property tax rates. Despite achieving some level of equity in local school rates, total local tax rates remain systematically higher in lower-wealth communities.

Figure 4

New Jersey's Local School Taxes Are Flat, but Overall Local Taxes are Regressive

Local Tax Equity

To better understand the effect of SFRA’s formula on tax equity, the authors conducted a series of regression analyses to identify factors associated with differences in (a) local fair share, (b) local revenue per pupil, (c) school tax rates, and (d) total tax rates. The full models, detailed in Appendix E, enable us to isolate the impacts of different district characteristics on tax rates while controlling for other variables. We included measures of taxable wealth per pupil, housing values, and median household income, analyzing data from 2013 to 2020. As expected, local shares and local revenues are higher in higher-income and higher-taxable wealth districts.

Derived from these regression models, Figure 5 focuses on factors associated with differences in local revenue. Former Abbott districts have local fair share expectations in line with their wealth and income (as controlled for in model); however, they generally raise significantly less local revenue per pupil than similar non-Abbott districts.

Figure 5

School Districts with Greater Shares of Black Students Are Expected to Pay Higher School Taxes

Figure 6 provides insight into why Abbott districts raise less revenue: their effective school tax rates are lower than other, similar districts. However, their total local tax rates are roughly equivalent to those of comparable districts. The interplay between school taxes, total taxes, and municipal obligations warrants further study; but for now, it is sufficient to note that total tax rates should be considered in any analysis and reform of the SFRA formula.

Figure 6

School Districts with Greater Shares of Hispanic Students Have Much Higher Local Tax Rates

The most important — but, given previous work, not unexpected — disparity revealed across the figures is that as Hispanic/Latinx enrollment increases, local revenues decline and local tax rates, particularly total tax rates, increase. Earlier NJPP reports have documented funding gaps in predominantly Hispanic/Latinx districts in New Jersey;[vii] the current models here provide additional evidence of this disturbing reality. These models also indicate that even the local fair share calculation disproportionately burdens these communities, holding other factors constant. This disparity is even more pronounced in Black communities, which face higher local share expectations, all else being equal. But it is Hispanic/Latinx communities that face significantly higher local taxation as a result. Reforms of SFRA must include changes that eliminate these persistent and inequitable tax effects on communities of color.

Another key issue involves taxable property wealth that is non-residential (commercial, industrial, etc.). In communities with proportionately more non-residential property, LFS is lower, yet the actual revenues raised are higher. In other words, school districts with more non-residential property raise more in local revenues, even though they are expected to raise less.

The easiest tax for which to gain political support is the tax on someone else. Property taxes on non-residential properties are partially borne by non-local residents: outsiders who don’t access the local schools still pay some school taxes when they conduct business within the district. However, this non-residential taxable wealth is unevenly distributed across taxing jurisdictions, often causing significant revenue-raising disparities. The value of those properties does not depend exclusively on the demand for their products or services within the same jurisdiction (think, for example, Paramus or Cherry Hill shopping areas). As such, school finance experts have long argued that such properties could or should be taxed regionally or statewide to balance these local tax distortions and provide more equitable statewide revenue distribution according to costs and needs across districts.[viii]

Conclusions and Recommendations

New Jersey’s School Funding Reform Act (SFRA) is due for a revision: it is not providing enough funding to the districts that need it the most, and its method for calculating local fair share should be improved.

Regarding the setting of adequacy targets, this report recommends:

  1. Strictly adhere to the schedule of updating the formula every three years, using cost-modeling methods to guide any changes.
  2. Implement data-driven, cost-modeling approaches based on current standards to determine base costs and weights in SFRA. This will increase the weights for poverty in SFRA’s formula, which is necessary for high-poverty districts to receive the revenues needed to meet New Jersey’s current, more rigorous standards. (See Appendix B for more)

Regarding the revenue side of SFRA, this report recommends the following:

  1. The New Jersey Department of Education (NJDOE) should develop a set of indicators to monitor the equity of school property taxes, total property taxes, and overall tax burdens annually.
  2. NJDOE should then use these indicators to evaluate tax disparities related to race, ethnicity, and income of taxpayers and students.
  3. Using these indicators, the state should reassess the property and income rates in the Local Fair Share (LFS) part of the SFRA formula, aiming to establish rates that promote goals of tax equity and progressivity.
  4. Once Local Fair Share amounts are set to reasonable and equitable levels that are not an undue burden on local taxpayers, the state should require school districts that are under SFRA adequacy to raise their full LFS through local taxes. Districts should provide their LFS with the understanding that the state will fully fund SFRA to meet current outcome goals. Again, total local taxes should be accounted for when calculating LFS. If districts need to raise local taxes rates to meet their LFS, those rates should be phased in over time to avoid any shocks to taxpayers.
  5. Regionalize industrial and commercial property taxes to distribute their revenues more equitably and correct racially and ethnically disparate local share requirements.

Appendices

Appendix A: An Update On New Jersey School Funding Equity

When New Jersey adopted the School Funding Reform Act (SFRA) in 2008, the state already had one of the country’s most progressive state school funding systems, targeting substantial additional state funding to the districts, schools, and children that needed those resources most. However, the distribution of state aid was determined largely by decades of litigation (known as the Abbott rulings), resulting in state aid targeted explicitly to only those districts that brought the litigation. While this drove a significant amount of revenue to the school districts that needed it the most, state aid — and its influence on local property taxation — was still uneven: some districts needed more financial help to fund their schools and keep their local taxes equitable.

Unfortunately, the adoption of SFRA was met with the onset of the Great Recession and Governor Chris Christie’s subsequent decision to cut state aid to schools. It is not an overstatement to say that 2008 represents the beginning of the collapse of school funding equity in New Jersey. While recent years have seen some improvement, the consequences of this collapse still affect many New Jersey school children and taxpayers.  

Figure 7 shows how the recession and Christie’s cuts impeded New Jersey’s effort to equitably fund its school districts. In the early to mid-1990s, the ratio of current spending per pupil to state and local revenue per pupil were roughly the same (1:1, or index of 1.0) for districts that had very low child poverty rates compared to those that had very high child poverty rates. This was despite the widely known fact that children in poverty need more school funding to ensure equal educational opportunities.[ix] However, throughout the 2000’s, the Abbott rulings forced the state to increase aid to many high-poverty districts, leading to more equitable funding. This trend reversed during the Christie Administration, and by 2019, New Jersey was back to where it had been in the early 1990s, with school spending becoming essentially flat once again. In recent years, the state’s movement towards fully funding SFRA has at least prevented further erosion; however, there has only been modest progress toward restoring the level of progressive school funding seen in 2008.

Figure 7

The Least Affluent School Districts Used to Get Much More Funding Than the Most Affluent

It’s important to recognize that the erosion of progressivity in New Jersey’s school funding is not solely the result of underfunding SFRA. Under the law, The New Jersey Department of Education is required to prepare an Educational Adequacy Report (EAR) every three years. The EAR is supposed to recalibrate the SFRA formula, adjusting its components to set both appropriate adequacy targets and fair levels of local revenues for schools. However, since the passage of SFRA, the department has either shirked this responsibility (under the Christie administration) or recalibrated the formula without considering factors such as the state’s increasing expectations for student outcomes.[x]

Appendix B: Setting Adequacy Targets: An Update

Previous NJPP reports about SFRA focused largely on how to target “adequacy,” which refers to the amount needed for a school district to provide a constitutionally mandated education that allows students to meet the state’s increasingly rigorous standards.[xi] Here, this report gives an update of this work, using current data to calculate the latest version of these adequacy targets. This analysis finds, once again, that school districts with the highest rates of poverty are not spending enough to meet New Jersey’s new, more rigorous standards.

As described in earlier NJPP reports, SFRA accounts for different student needs through a system where “base amounts” and “weights” are set by the state, resulting in an adequacy target for every school district.[xii] The base amount is the amount of revenue per student a school district needs to educate an elementary school student who is not economically disadvantaged and is not an English Language Learner (ELL). When a district counts its students, each student is “weighted:” students who are economically disadvantaged, ELLs, or in upper grades add more to the weighted student count. That count is multiplied by the base to set the district’s adequacy target. While there are other factors accounted for in SFRA, the base and the weights are at the heart of the law’s adequacy formula.

For SFRA to validly determine how much each New Jersey school district needs, its base amount and weights need to be set correctly. The base weight must reflect the true cost of educating an elementary student so they can achieve the goals the state has set. Likewise, the weights must reflect the additional cost of educating an economically disadvantaged, ELL, or upper-grade student. If the base and weights are wrong, a district will not have the revenues it needs to be able to achieve its outcome goals. The Education Adequacy Report (EAR), which is supposed to update the SFRA base and weights every three years, is, therefore, critically important: it must set the base and weights correctly for schools to receive the funding to be successful.

As noted in previous work, New Jersey has raised its outcome goals for students over the past two decades, but has failed to change its school funding formula to align with these new goals.[xiii] To measure the extent of the problem, previous reports from NJPP have used the National Education Cost Model (NECM).[xiv] Grounded in actual data and time-tested empirical methods, the NECM gives a valid, reasonable estimate of the cost of students achieving, on average, a particular educational outcome. What follows here are the latest NECM cost estimates; see the table at the end of this appendix for model specifications and estimates.

Figure 8 shows the average current spending, SFRA adequacy budget, and NECM-predicted costs by school district poverty quintile from lowest poverty to highest. Regarding existing per pupil spending (the grey bars), the average is just over $20,000, regardless of whether a district is very low in child poverty concentration or much higher. Like in the early 1990s (see Figure 7 above), spending per pupil is currently flat in New Jersey with respect to poverty, despite the presence of a poverty weighting factor in SFRA.

The lighter blue bars represent what SFRA would provide as an “adequacy budget” for each group. Adequacy budgets for low-poverty districts are just over $15,000 per pupil; for high-poverty districts, just over $20,000 per pupil. SFRA is, therefore, somewhat progressive; however, that progressivity is offset by local choices in affluent districts to spend above that level. The fact that low-poverty districts choose to spend much more than their SFRA adequacy targets suggests that those targets are well below what New Jersey residents want for the education of their communities’ children.

Figure 8

High-Poverty Districts Need More Funding to Meet Higher Education Standards

The medium blue bars estimate the per pupil cost — predicted from the NECM — to achieve reading and math outcomes equivalent to the Massachusetts average, which is slightly higher than the New Jersey average, and, as discussed in our previous reports, on track with college and career readiness.[xv] New Jersey school districts with low to moderate levels of poverty currently spend at or above what they’d need to achieve these outcomes (and most of these districts achieve these outcomes). SFRA, however, provides sufficient adequacy budgets only for the state’s more affluent districts.

In contrast, the highest poverty districts continue to show a large gap between what the NECM says they should spend and what they actually do spend. Worse, the gap between what NECM says districts should spend and their SFRA targets is even larger; in other words, SFRA adequacy targets for high-poverty districts are well below where they should be to meet the goals the state has set. As reported in the past, these analyses suggest the poverty weights in SFRA are too low to meet the state’s current, more rigorous standards.[xvi] Properly recalibrating SFRA will require bringing these weights up, using current data and modern costing methods to set valid targets.

National Education Cost Model vs. Current Spending and SFRA Targets

Appendix C: Sources of Revenues

In New Jersey, as in many other states, state and local revenues are collected through different types of taxes. The table below lays out the features of the three main revenue sources for the state: property taxes, sales taxes, and income taxes.

Property taxes are collected primarily at the local level, although sometimes not directly by the school district but by the parent government (city or town), which in turn allocates the revenue to local schools. As illustrated above, property taxes are highly inequitable across localities, meaning that affluent communities often have lower tax rates than those with less property wealth. However, property taxes are also relatively stable in terms of the revenue they generate, making them particularly attractive to school districts because they provide consistent funding regardless of economic fluctuations.

While property taxes can be regressive, they tend to be less so, on average, than sales taxes. Sales taxes are primarily state source taxes but increasingly include local option sales taxes, which in some states make up a substantial share of local revenues. Sales tax revenues are moderately volatile but less so than income tax revenues.

Table 4 summarizes the advantages and disadvantages of different sources of tax revenues. Because each type of tax has its own trade-offs between property, sales, and income taxes, state tax systems tend to rely on some combination of all three.

Table 4: The Pros and Cons of Different Tax Revenue Sources

*Increased use of Local Option Sales taxes

Appendix D: New Jersey’s Tax Effort

School finance researchers often describe the level of state and local funding in terms of effort: the percentage of a state’ or locality’s tax capacity that is spent on schooling. When calculating a state’s effort, tax capacity is often measured as the total personal income for the state; the percentage of that income spent on schools is its effort.

Figure 9 shows the effort of all 50 states to fund schools from 1997 to 2021 with New Jersey highlighted. From 2000 to 2005, New Jersey dramatically increased its effort, coinciding with the targeting of substantial funding to higher-need districts following the Abbott decisions. But like nearly every other state, New Jersey decreased its effort toward funding K-12 education following the Great Recession of 2008—2009. Had New Jersey simply maintained its effort level from 2006 — in other words, made the policy choice to continue spending the same percentage of its economy on K-12 schooling each year — revenue could have been up to 14.3% higher, on average, from 2016 to 2021.[xvii] 

Figure 9

New Jersey's Effort to Fund Schools is Relatively Strong, But Has Declined in the Last Decade

While Figure 9 shows K-12 education revenues as a share of income, Figure 10, below, compares total state and local taxes as a share of income for New Jersey among other states. Although taxes in New Jersey are higher than in many other states, the state is not an extreme outlier, with several other states collecting higher amounts proportionally. Notably, New Jersey ranks somewhat lower on total state and local taxes as a share of income than it does on K-12 effort. In addition, and like K-12 effort, total taxes as a share of income have declined since their pre-recession peak. These analyses suggest that while New Jersey makes a relatively strong effort to fund its public schools, there remains room for improvement.

Figure 10

Total Taxes in New Jersey Have Declined Since the Great Recession

Appendix E: Local Fair Share, Effective Tax Rates (School and Total), and Local Revenue per pupil Models

 


End Notes

[i] Duncombe, W. D., & Yinger, J. (2005). How much more does a disadvantaged student cost? Economics of Education Review, 24(5), 513–532.

Baker, B. D., Weber, M., & Srikanth, A. (2021). Informing Federal School Finance Policy with Empirical Evidence. Journal of Education Finance, 47(1), 1–25.

Jackson, C. K., & Mackevicius, C. L. (2024). What Impacts Can We Expect from School Spending Policy? Evidence from Evaluations in the United States. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 16(1), 412–446. https://doi.org/10.1257/app.20220279

[ii] Augenblick, Palaich and Associates. (2011). Analysis of New Jersey’s Census-Based Special Education Funding System. http://nj.gov/education/sff/sereport.pdf

[iii] Baker, B.D. and Weber, M.A. (2023) Unlocking Academic Success: Revitalizing New Jersey’s School Funding Formula for Student Achievement. New Jersey Policy Perspective. https://www.njpp.org/publications/report/unlocking-academic-success-revitalizing-new-jerseys-school-funding-formula-for-student-achievement/

[iv] New Jersey Department of Education, Title I, Part A, Supplement Not Supplant Guidance  https://www.nj.gov/education/title1/resources/docs/TitleISupplementnotSupplantGuidanceDocument.pdf

[v] “Median household income” is a different measure than what is used for SFRA’s formula: SFRA totals the district’s residents’ income and multiplies it by the rate. We use median income here as it better approximates the relationship between local share and the “typical” household income for a district.

[vi] “Local Fair Share ratio” is the calculated LFS amount of revenues from local sources vs. the amount from state sources. An LFS ratio of 1 (1:1) means the calculated LFS is equal to the amount from state sources; an LFS ratio of 0.5 (1:2) means the calculated LFS is equal to one-half of the amount from state sources. As tax capacity rises, the LFS ratio will also rise; for example, districts with a LFS of 2 will have greater property wealth and income—and, consequently, tax capacity—than districts with an LFS of 0.5.

[vii] Baker, B.D. and Weber, M.A. (2022) Separate and Unequal: Racial and Ethnic Segregation and the Case for School Funding Reparations in New Jersey. New Jersey Policy Perspective. https://www.njpp.org/publications/report/separate-and-unequal-racial-and-ethnic-segregation-and-the-case-for-school-funding-reparations-in-new-jersey/

[viii] Brent, B. O. (1999). An analysis of the influence of regional nonresidential expanded tax base approaches to school finance on measures of student and taxpayer equity. Journal of Education Finance, 24(3), 353-378.

Ladd, H. F., & Harris, E. W. (1995). Statewide taxation of nonresidential property for education. Journal of Education Finance, 21(1), 103-122.

Ladd, H. F. (1976). State-wide taxation of commercial and industrial property for education. National Tax Journal, 29(2), 143-153.

[ix] See Footnote #1.

[x] Baker, B.D. and Weber, M.A. (2022) New Jersey School Funding: The Higher the Goals, the Higher the Costs. New Jersey Policy Perspective. https://www.njpp.org/publications/report/new-jersey-school-funding-the-higher-the-goals-the-higher-the-costs/

[xi] Baker, B.D. and Weber, M.A. (2023) Unlocking Academic Success: Revitalizing New Jersey’s School Funding Formula for Student Achievement. New Jersey Policy Perspective. https://www.njpp.org/publications/report/unlocking-academic-success-revitalizing-new-jerseys-school-funding-formula-for-student-achievement/

[xii] Baker, B.D. and Weber, M.A. (2020) School Funding in New Jersey: A Fair Future for All. New Jersey Policy Perspective. https://www.njpp.org/publications/report/school-funding-in-new-jersey-a-fair-future-for-all/

[xiii] Baker, B.D. and Weber, M.A. (2023) Unlocking Academic Success: Revitalizing New Jersey’s School Funding Formula for Student Achievement. New Jersey Policy Perspective. https://www.njpp.org/publications/report/unlocking-academic-success-revitalizing-new-jerseys-school-funding-formula-for-student-achievement/

[xiv] Baker, B. D., Weber, M., & Srikanth, A. (2021). Informing Federal School Finance Policy with Empirical Evidence. Journal of Education Finance, 47(1), 1–25.

[xv] Baker, B.D. and Weber, M.A. (2022) New Jersey School Funding: The Higher the Goals, the Higher the Costs. New Jersey Policy Perspective. https://www.njpp.org/publications/report/new-jersey-school-funding-the-higher-the-goals-the-higher-the-costs/

[xvi] Baker, B.D. and Weber, M.A. (2023) Unlocking Academic Success: Revitalizing New Jersey’s School Funding Formula for Student Achievement. New Jersey Policy Perspective. https://www.njpp.org/publications/report/unlocking-academic-success-revitalizing-new-jerseys-school-funding-formula-for-student-achievement/

[xvii] School Finance Indicators Database, State School Finance Profile, New Jersey, 2020-21 School Year https://www.schoolfinancedata.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/profiles24_NJ.pdf

No Matter What You Call Them, Private School Vouchers Are Bad for New Jersey

New Jersey’s public schools are among the strongest in the nation, a direct result of robust state funding that supports districts and students in every corner of the state. This investment in public schools is now threatened by a sweeping new bill that would establish the first-ever school voucher program in New Jersey, providing tens of millions of dollars in public funds to students attending private schools.[1]

The bill text is careful not to include the word “voucher,” a tactic recommended by anti-public school organizations like the Cato Institute.[2] Instead, the bill uses coded terms like “scholarships” and “tax credits,” but the ultimate outcomes remain the same. With an annual cost of $37.5 million, this proposal would funnel scarce public dollars to unaccountable private schools, harming students, taxpayers, and the future of public education in New Jersey.

New Jersey Cannot Afford School Vouchers, “Tax Credits,” or “Scholarships”

The proposed bill would grant tax credits to corporate and individual taxpayers who make contributions to “student support organizations.” After collecting their administrative fees, these groups would redistribute the funds to private school families. Proponents argue this is different than private school vouchers, which give state funds directly to parents or schools. But that’s a distinction without a difference.

Every public dollar in tax credits for private school scholarships is a dollar that has to be made up somewhere else, either in cuts to public programs or in higher taxes.[3] Given the state’s current fiscal situation, the last thing New Jersey needs right now is a multi-million-dollar giveaway to private schools.

In other states, wealthy individuals and businesses have used similar tax credit schemes to reduce their tax liability by more than the amount of their donation, essentially making money on private school vouchers.[4] The New Jersey bill, as proposed, would create incentives to do the same.

It’s worth noting that in other states, voucher programs started small, but grew enormously in a short time. Arizona’s voucher program, for example, totaled $57 million in 2012 and ballooned to $218 million by 2022.[5] It’s telling that the original version of the New Jersey bill set the total cost at $250 million; if it passes, it wouldn’t at all be surprising to see the bill reach this extremely high cost in the near future.

Most Funding Would Benefit Those Already Enrolled in Private School

The bill sets the income threshold for a family of five at $176,000 — nearly twice the median household income[6] — meaning families that can afford private schools on their own will now take money from the rest of the state’s taxpayers to subsidize their children’s private school education.[7]

Some argue voucher programs do not cost states school funding because the state doesn’t have to pay to educate students who would otherwise attend public school. This logic fails, however, up against the fact that large numbers of private school students wouldn’t attend public school under any circumstances. More than half of New Jersey’s private schools students, for example, attend religious schools; it is reasonable to assume many of their parents would always choose a religious education for them, no matter the availability of private school vouchers.[8]

In fact, data from other states confirm that similar programs subsidize large numbers of private school families whose children never attended public schools. In Florida, for example, 69 percent of students who enrolled in the state’s voucher scholarship program for the first time were already attending private schools.[9] Similarly, two-thirds of Iowa’s voucher students were already enrolled in private schools.[10] Other states have similar figures.[11]

New Jersey Already Gives Extensive Support to Private Schools

By law, New Jersey’s school districts must provide funding to private schools for textbooks, handicap services, nursing, technology, and other programs and services.[12] According to state data, public schools transferred nearly $80 million to private schools in the 2021-22 school year.[13] There is no public audit available showing how, exactly, this money was spent.

In addition, public schools must provide transportation to resident children attending private schools within a 20-mile radius.[14] How much this costs taxpayers is unclear; state data does not separate out transportation costs between public and private school students, further highlighting the state’s lack of oversight for its current private school subsidies.

The current bill doesn’t rescind this private school support; instead, it piles even more subsidies on top of an unfunded mandate, pulling even more money from public schools.

Private Schools Lack Oversight and Are Allowed to Discriminate

Despite receiving public funds, New Jersey’s private schools have little to no accountability to the state’s taxpayers. Private school students do not take state tests, so there is no way to determine if they are receiving an adequate education. Unlike public schools, the state doesn’t have a true monitoring and accountability system in place for private schools.[15]

Privatization advocates will often argue that parental “choice” is the only accountability taxpayers need. This is, of course, absurd. If taxpayers are going to foot the bill for private school education, they deserve a real oversight system to protect their interests. Such a system, however, requires significant resources — funding that could be used to improve public schools, which are open to all students.

The current bill has no provision for private schools to change their admissions policies, meaning schools receiving taxpayer funds could systematically exclude students with learning disabilities or students who are English Language Learners, concentrating these students — whose costs are greater — into public schools. As is the case in other states, religious schools that discriminate against LGBTQ+ students would also be eligible for public funding.[16]

Voucher Programs Lead to Worse Student Outcomes

Proponents of private school vouchers used to claim that private schools get better academic outcomes than public schools. Their claims were based on decades-old, small-scale studies that inadequately controlled for differences in student characteristics.

As researchers at the University of Indiana point out, more recent studies with better methods paint a very different picture.[17] States that have implemented large-scale private school voucher systems have seen dramatic declines in student outcomes. In some studies, the effects have been larger than estimates of the learning loss from the COVID-19 pandemic.[18]

There Are Better Ways to Support Students

 Public school leaders across New Jersey have begged the Legislature to revise the state’s school funding formula, which has been shown to be inadequate in meeting the current needs of students.[19] Implementing a new scheme for funding private schools takes time and attention away from this important work. It also diverts funds away from public schools and toward private schools, which have no meaningful oversight and can pick and choose who they admit.

New Jersey’s students deserve better. The Legislature should drop this bill and get back to the work of ensuring that every student can attend a well-resourced public school.


End Notes

[1] https://www.njleg.state.nj.us/bill-search/2024/S3035

[2] https://www.cato.org/education-wiki/scholarship-tax-credits-vouchers

[3] https://networkforpubliceducation.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Are-tax-credits-scholarships-a-voucher-by-a-different-nameƒ.pdf

[4] https://itep.org/tax-avoidance-fuels-school-vouchers-privatization-efforts/

[5] https://azdor.gov/sites/default/files/2023-05/REPORTS_CREDITS_2023_fy2022-private-school-tuition-org-credit-report.pdf

[6] https://data.census.gov/all?q=New+Jersey+Income+and+Poverty

[7] https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2024/02/20/2024-03355/child-nutrition-programs-income-eligibility-guidelines#p-15

[8] https://nces.ed.gov/surveys/pss/

[9] https://www.wmfe.org/education/2023-09-14/florida-policy-institute-school-voucher-data-step-up-for-students

[10] https://educate.iowa.gov/press-release/2024-01-26/certified-enrollment-2023-24-holds-steady-16757-esa-participants-enrolled-iowa-accredited-nonpublic

[11] https://www.ncpecoalition.org/voucher-recipients

[12] https://www.nj.gov/education/nonpublic/

[13] https://www.nj.gov/education/finance/fp/ufb/

[14] https://www.nj.gov/education/genfo/faq/faq_transportation.shtml

[15] https://www.nj.gov/education/qsac/

[16] https://www.orlandosentinel.com/2020/01/23/anti-lgbt-florida-schools-getting-school-vouchers/

[17] https://ceep.indiana.edu/education-policy/policy-briefs/2023/research-on-school-vouchers.pdf

[18] https://www.brookings.edu/articles/research-on-school-vouchers-suggests-concerns-ahead-for-education-savings-accounts/

[19] https://www.njpp.org/publications/report/unlocking-academic-success-revitalizing-new-jerseys-school-funding-formula-for-student-achievement/

Unlocking Academic Success: Revitalizing New Jersey’s School Funding Formula for Student Achievement

All students, regardless of their background, should have access to a high-quality education to help them reach their full potential. In the past few years, New Jersey has moved steadily toward fully funding its schools through the 2008 School Funding Reform Act (SFRA), the state’s school finance law. This landmark legislation requires funding alignment with student outcomes.

Since SFRA was enacted in 2009, however, New Jersey has raised student achievement expectations: state exams are more rigorous, and students are expected to meet higher standards. While there have been small changes in SFRA funding targets since its inception, the current law does not provide all the resources students need to reach these new standards because it is still aligned with outdated learning goals.

The state can fine-tune the formula by making small but significant tweaks. Specifically, the state can adjust the funding needed to adequately educate a student, which is called the base student amount, and align that with the additional costs for students who need extra help, like special education students, English language learners (ELL), and more, which are called weights for student characteristics. Other states have recently used updated and improved data and methods, and New Jersey can do the same.

History has shown — and we have documented in previous work — that systemic, institutional racism has fostered the segregative trends that led to the current concentration of low property values and high student need in many of New Jersey’s towns and cities.[1] Properly adjusting SFRA is, therefore, a matter of both racial justice and educational adequacy. This report explores what it means to fund our schools adequately and meet the constitutionality of SFRA, explains the school funding formula, and offers recommendations to fine-tune SFRA to ensure its constitutionality and that it better supports today’s students and their futures.

What is “Adequate” School Funding?

Research conclusively shows that school funding has a significant effect on student success.[2] At the same time, research also shows that different communities require different funding levels to provide equal educational opportunities for their students. But how much funding should be given to each district based on the unique needs of their student populations? Adequacy refers to the level of funding needed for a specific population of students to achieve a specific educational outcome. A school district with adequate funding has the resources to provide an education that allows its students to meet a specific goal: an average test score, a particular graduation rate, or some other measurable outcome.

Adequacy considers the characteristics of a school district’s students that affect their abilities to achieve learning outcomes. For instance, adequacy acknowledges that more revenue is needed when student poverty is more highly concentrated, or students have greater educational needs. Adequacy also accounts for differences in labor markets and other factors that drive up district costs to staff their schools properly. Finally, adequacy considers the rigor of the educational outcomes that students are expected to achieve. Put simply, meeting higher standards costs more than meeting lower standards.

Exactly how school funding positively affects outcomes continues to be studied; however, researchers have found compelling evidence that reductions in class size, more support and instructional staff, early childhood education, increases in instructional time, and more competitive wages for school staff benefit students.[3] All of these reforms are made possible when school funding is adequate and equitable.

New Jersey’s Constitutional Mandate for Adequately Funded Schools

The New Jersey Constitution requires that the Legislature “…provide for the maintenance and support of a thorough and efficient system of free public schools….” However, in a series of lawsuits throughout the last 50 years, including the Abbott decisions, the state Supreme Court found that the Legislature was still not meeting its obligations and demanded increased school funding. [4] In this context, the School Funding Reform Act of 2008 was enacted, a public education finance formula connecting school funding to the state’s broader adoption of academic content standards and performance assessments.

Even when the law passed — as pointed out in previous reports — the outcome standards and cost estimates used to set adequacy levels in SFRA were already several years old. [5] The general tone of the court suggested that SFRA looked like a reasonable effort to meet the standard it had laid out a decade earlier and that SFRA could be implemented — but only with certain conditions attached.

The court held:

To the extent that the record permitted in this review, SFRA is constitutional and may be applied in Abbott districts subject to the State continuing to provide school funding aid during this and the next two years at the levels required by SFRA’s formula each year, and subject further to the mandated review and retooling of the formula’s weights and other operative parts after three years of implementation.

– Abbott XX, 199 N.J. 140, May 2009. Emphasis ours.

In addition to the law requiring that the SFRA formula must be reviewed and, if necessary, recalibrated every three years, the court found SFRA is also only constitutional if it is fully funded. The court reaffirmed this point when funds were cut from Abbott districts in 2011.[6] Under the Murphy administration, the Legislature has moved closer to fully funding the current formula; this is an important step forward. However, SFRA must also be aligned with current standards and student outcome goals to remain constitutional.

Understanding the School Funding Formula (SFRA)

While it is well understood that schools need adequate funding, setting adequacy levels is a complex task. New Jersey’s School Funding Reform Act (SFRA) outlines a formula to set adequacy levels for all school districts. As noted in previous work, the SFRA formula needs updating to be constitutional and fix the significant underestimation of the adequacy level for many school districts.[7]

Fortunately, lawmakers don’t need to start from scratch; they need only follow the law and reset a few key components in the formula to ensure that all schools and their students receive adequate funding. But, to understand how the SFRA formula can be adjusted, we must first understand how it works. The formula uses a “weighted student enrollment” method that can be simplified into three basic steps:

Step 1: Set the “Base Amount”

In theory, the base amount determines the funding needed to adequately educate students in Grades 1 through 5, assuming they are not economically disadvantaged and speak English as their native language. If a school district only had these students and received the base amount per pupil — currently $12,451, as shown in the table below — it would, according to the SFRA formula, have the resources it needs to achieve the educational goals the state has set.

Step 2: Determine the “Weighted Student Enrollment”

The SFRA formula does more than count the number of students in a school district; it also tracks important student characteristics that increase costs, “weighting” students with those characteristics more heavily. For example, elementary school students are considered the baseline, and each are counted as 1.00 student, absent of all other factors. For every student who does not speak English as their native language — Limited English Proficient (LEP) — an additional 0.5 for each LEP student is counted in the weighted enrollment count. Also, students in poverty (as measured by their eligibility for free or reduced-price lunch) are weighted between 1.47 and 1.57 times more heavily in the enrollment count, depending on the concentration of poverty in their district. Further, high school students are weighted more heavily than elementary students and vocational tech students receive additional weights. The latest weights are listed in the table below.

Step 3: Multiply the Weighted Student Enrollment by the Base Amount

The total adequacy budget is the student enrollment, weighted by student characteristics, multiplied by the base amount (and further weighted by geographic cost adjustments).

To be clear: this is a simplified explanation of only one part of the SFRA formula. Other factors affect the final school aid calculation a district receives from the state, such as special education, categorical aid, local fair share, etc.

Understanding the steps above yields a key insight: The SFRA formula can be adjusted by changing the base amount and the weights used to determine weighted student enrollment. When the base and the weights are set correctly, the amount a district should spend to provide an adequate education is calculated accurately; when the base and weights are wrong, the adequacy budget calculation is wrong. Getting the base and the weights right is, therefore, critically important for maintaining the constitutionality of SFRA. By law, the base and weights must be adjusted every three years.

Current SFRA Adequacy: An Update

A previous NJPP report explains how the outcome standards required of New Jersey’s students over time have changed, becoming more demanding and requiring more intensive instruction.[8] Therefore, the current SFRA formula likely underestimates the funding schools need to achieve adequacy. In 2018, over 100,000 students were in schools that were severely underfunded — more than $5,000 per pupil less than SFRA’s targets. That number has been cut in half in recent years; however, many New Jersey children are still enrolled in underfunded schools as assessed by SFRA’s formula.

 

New Jersey’s New, More Rigorous Standards

To maintain constitutionality, adjustments to the SFRA formula must be linked to learning outcomes, especially if those outcomes have changed — which they have. In a previous report[9], we explained how the outcome standards required of New Jersey’s students over time have become more demanding and, therefore, require more intensive instruction. To illustrate this change, this report uses the best consistent measure for determining a state’s goals for student proficiency: the National Assessment of Education Progress (NAEP)[10], a national test considered the gold standard of student assessment.

Because the NAEP is designed to be a consistently challenging exam across time, it can compare the relative difficulty of achieving a proficient score on New Jersey’s state tests in different years — even if the tests and their definition of “proficient” change. As the graph below shows, the difficulty of New Jersey’s tests has increased considerably; a score considered “proficient” two decades ago would not be today.

In 2005, for example, the state’s assessment score on the NJASK, [11] the state’s standardized test, determined proficiency in 4th-grade reading to be statistically equivalent to a 191 NAEP score. This was when funding targets for SFRA were originally adjusted; however, it took another four years before the law was fully enacted. By then the proficiency standard in 4th-grade reading increased to a 221 NAEP-equivalent score.For more context on the state’s increase in school education standards, when the state changed its standardized test from the NJASK to PARCC in 2015,[12] the proficiency equivalent on the NAEP leapt up to 233. In 2019, the state again switched its test to the NJSLA;[13] the standards dropped slightly to a 225 NAEP score, still well above the original 2005 level. Other subjects and grade levels saw similar increases.

At the time of SFRA’s inception, methods for making these estimates, or “costing out” an adequate education, primarily revolved around making what are best described as educated guesses. Documented here and in previous work,[14] estimates were below what is needed to provide an adequate education, especially for schools serving large proportions of students experiencing economic disadvantage.

Fine-Tuning the Formula With Evidence

The SFRA formula can and should be fine-tuned with better data and methods. Recent examples from other states show New Jersey how the school funding formula can be improved to better estimate the costs of an adequate education. This is not only important to meet the needs of New Jersey students but also to comply with the state constitution, which calls for regular updating.

In the last several years, data collection and methods to analyze those data have improved significantly: policymakers have better access to data on student characteristics, area poverty, wage competitiveness, and other factors that affect educational costs than they had before. Cost estimates based on data analysis have the advantage of being based on actual spending and measurable student outcomes. Other states have taken advantage of these improvements to adjust their formulas and better estimate educational costs. Examples include:

  • Kansas: In 2017, Legislators contracted with independent researchers to estimate an updated cost model based on new outcome standards to revise their weighted foundation aid formula as ordered by the state courts. Kansas had used similar, rigorous statistical methods ahead of other states a decade earlier.[15]
  • Vermont: Legislators contracted the American Institutes for Research (AIR) in collaboration with the University of Vermont to use similar methods to guide reforms of their pupil need weights. While COVID slowed the process, in the spring of 2022, the Vermont legislature and governor adopted reforms to the weighting system guided by those findings.[16]
  • New Hampshire: In 2020, the New Hampshire Commission on School Funding worked with the same researchers to estimate models of the costs to achieve that state’s desired outcome goals but has not yet acted on the report findings.[17] (One of the authors of this brief, Dr. Bruce D. Baker, was part of the teams that performed the Vermont and New Hampshire analyses.)

 

Studies like these can be completed in under a year with lower expense and greater validity than other methods that estimate educational costs. They have the additional advantage of being able to be easily updated as new data is collected.

Adjusting SFRA: An Example

How might New Jersey use a data-informed approach to adjust SFRA? The state can use a data-informed approach that uses national datasets and modern cost-modeling methods. Over the past several years, for example, the authors of this brief have developed a National Education Cost Model (NECM), which is used in our national reporting on the adequacy and fairness of state school finance systems.[18] The model uses data on over 13,000 school districts per year over a decade to estimate the relationship between existing and past spending, district characteristics, student characteristics, and outcomes in reading and math. The resulting estimations allow us to set appropriate outcome goals and estimate the cost of attaining them for individual school districts.

We have used this model in earlier NJPP reports to evaluate the adequacy of SFRA concerning the costs of achieving different outcomes on state tests in English and math.[19] Importantly, we arrived at different estimations based on different outcome goals. The cost per pupil is relatively modest if we set a relatively low goal — for example, the national average outcomes on state tests. If we set a higher goal — say, average outcomes for Massachusetts students, the highest in the nation — the cost estimates are higher.

The table below shows estimates from the NECM with two outcomes goals, compared to a simulation of the SFRA adequacy budget’s funding targets. Standard 1 — the low standard — is the estimated cost of achieving national average outcomes of state tests. Standard 2 is higher: average Massachusetts outcomes. The estimates are broken down into five poverty levels, ranging from low to high.

If New Jersey were to set a low target for national average test scores, the SFRA, in its current form, would provide more than enough revenue to meet that goal, especially in lower-poverty districts. However, New Jersey is relatively high performing, surpassing national averages. If the state sets the higher goal of meeting Massachusetts’s average outcomes (again, the highest outcomes in the nation), only wealthier districts would have the revenues needed under SFRA to meet that goal. The highest-poverty districts would need more than $7,000 additional dollars per student to achieve this more rigorous standard.

It’s important to note that we are using Massachusetts outcomes as a benchmark because of their high average test scores; this does not mean, however, that New Jersey can simply spend as much as Massachusetts and achieve similar results. There are substantial differences between the two states in poverty and English Language Learner rates, labor costs, urban density, and other factors that affect school costs. Our models account for those differences, creating estimates of what funding levels are needed for New Jersey, with its unique characteristics, to attain Massachusetts’ outcomes.

The higher standard model where wealthier districts have adequate funding (and that middle-poverty districts are close) suggests that while the base amounts per pupil set is near or at the level it needs to be, the weighting for economically disadvantaged students is too low. Therefore, adjusting the weights is important for the state to move towards adequacy and fulfilling the constitutionality of SFRA.

Again, these estimates are based on actual fiscal and outcome data, not simply educated guesses. The models use methods other states have already employed to better calibrate their school funding formulas toward the goal of educational adequacy.  Of course, different outcome goals and different statistical models can and will yield different estimates. We explore these differences in the Technical Appendix.

Recommendation: Adjust SFRA With Input From School Finance Experts

New Jersey’s school funding law, SFRA, must be regularly adjusted to maintain its constitutionality. But it must be adjusted correctly, based on student outcome and fiscal data, valid methods, and rigorous yet achievable standards. Fortunately, other states have shown how the Legislature could proceed, using cost modeling approaches that yield estimates far more likely than previous ones to reflect the true cost of providing New Jersey’s students with an adequate education.

We recommend that the Legislature consider directing the Joint Committee on the Public Schools to hold hearings on SFRA’s adjustment. The Committee should hear from experts in the field of public school finance as to why recalibration is necessary, options for performing the recalibration, and the experiences of other states in reworking their school funding formulas. The final work product of the hearings should be a report (likely produced by contracted experts in school finance, as in other states) that estimates costs and sets SFRA base amounts and weights based on various scenarios and outcome goals.

Adjusting SFRA is necessary to retain its constitutionality and help ensure New Jersey’s students get the schooling they deserve. The Legislature should act now and begin the process of SFRA recalibration so all of New Jersey’s children have equal educational opportunities.


Technical Appendix

Over the past several years, we have developed a National Education Cost Model (NECM), which is used in our national reporting on the adequacy and fairness of state school finance systems.[20] Specifically, the current version of the model uses data on over 13,000 school districts per year from 2009 to 2019 to estimate the relationship between existing and past spending, district characteristics, student characteristics, and outcomes in reading and math to generate predictions of the spending needed to achieve specific outcome levels in each district.

In this appendix, we include additional estimates of costs derived from our national data sources and national model specification. Specifically, we provide estimates here to isolate New Jersey and neighboring states, running a regional cost model. In addition, we run a cost model using our national data, but on New Jersey districts alone. Our experience with the model has shown us that sometimes cost variations within regions and specific states differ from those in other regions of the United States. These differences may occur because of the geographic and demographic differences that exist from region to region and the fact that school districts tend to be organized differently from state to state and region to region.

Again, we set lower and higher standards for outcomes for which we predict per pupil costs for each district and compare against existing spending:

  • Standard 1 = National Average Outcomes
  • Standard 2 = Massachusetts Average Outcomes (National Model), New Jersey Average (Regional & State Models)

 

The table below summarizes our national cost model results, comparing cost predictions to alternative per-pupil spending measures and the budgeted adequacy calculation produced under SFRA. The most directly relevant spending figure is the U.S. Census Bureau’s current operating expense figure because that is the measure on which the model is estimated. The model compares spending to outcome measures, considering student and context measures to establish the relationships from which we predict the spending needed to achieve desired outcomes.

The New Jersey Department of Education budgetary per pupil cost measure is less inclusive than the Census Current Spending measure. But, for either the budgetary per pupil cost or current spending measure, we see that the lowest poverty 20% of districts spend marginally more than the highest poverty 20% of districts. That is, actual spending is “regressive” concerning poverty. This is even though predicted per pupil costs to achieve common outcomes are much higher in the highest poverty districts. Indeed, SFRA provides a higher adequacy budget for those districts, but not enough. And the “progressiveness” of SFRA adequacy budgets is insufficient to offset the regressiveness of what New Jersey school districts raise and spend. We can also see that where spending falls short of costs, outcomes fall short of targets.

The table below compares three models estimated for this brief to SFRA adequacy budgets for 2023, starting with the model estimates from the table above. We use our cost estimates from 2020, one year beyond the available outcome data. An interesting twist is that these cost estimates are slightly lower than those for 2019. This is because student outcomes in recent years have declined nationally, and our model finds logically that lower outcomes cost less to achieve. Our outcome targets are based on existing and historical averages here, nationally, and for Massachusetts and New Jersey.

By 2023, SFRA adequacy budgets have increased from the 2019 figures in the previous table. The highest poverty districts are, on average, at or near the per pupil costs to achieve national average outcomes. Recall that if we strive to achieve a specific outcome target, on average, about half of students will fall below that target and about 16% substantially below (as noted above, below average outcomes of low-income students in states like Alabama or Mississippi). On average, shooting for a higher target is necessary for meeting reasonable targets for those in the lower half of the distribution.

As with the comparison in the previous table: when compared against the higher target, adequacy budgets by 2023 approximate the cost target for the two lowest-poverty quintiles. However, adequate budgets for the two highest-poverty quintiles fall short of cost targets. The high outcome standard in the National and Regional model is the Massachusetts average, and in the New Jersey model is New Jersey’s average, similar to that of Massachusetts. Suppose we believe that the current state of average math and reading outcomes in New Jersey meets the constitutional standard of adequacy. In that case, this may be a reasonable starting point for calibration.

Recall that the differences in adequacy budgets under SFRA have been achieved through a series of pupil weightings or multipliers times a base level of funding. The latest Educational Adequacy Report (EAR) puts the formula weight at 0.5 for Limited English Proficient (LEP) students and 0.47 to 0.57 for Free and Reduced-Price Lunch students. This should mean that every LEP student in a district generates at least 1.5 times the base amount; in reality, however, the SFRA adequacy budget and the actual spending of districts are significantly less. The table below shows the “actual” weights that result from either our simulation of the SFRA adequacy budget or from spending as reported in the Taxpayers Guide to Educational Spending.

Below these are weights derived from our cost models. The Free Lunch weight for the model using Massachusetts mean outcomes as the goal is 1.2; the models suggest that the SFRA weight should be adjusted from about .5 to 1.2 if the goal is to achieve average Massachusetts outcomes on state tests. The LEP weight should be adjusted to 0.68 from 0.5.

 

End Notes


[1] Baker, B. D. and Weber, M.A. (2022) Separate and Unequal: Racial Segregation and the Case for School Funding Reparations in New Jersey. Trenton, NJ: New jersey Policy Perspective. https://www.njpp.org/publications/report/separate-and-unequal-racial-and-ethnic-segregation-and-the-case-for-school-funding-reparations-in-new-jersey/

[2] Baker, B. D., & Weber, M. A. (2016). Beyond the echo-chamber: State investments and student outcomes in US elementary and secondary education. Journal of Education Finance, 42(1), 1–27.

Baker, B. D., Weber, M., & Srikanth, A. (2021). Informing Federal School Finance Policy with Empirical Evidence. Journal of Education Finance, 47(1), 1–25.

Jackson, C. K., Johnson, R. C., & Persico, C. (2016). The effects of school spending on educational and economic outcomes: Evidence from school finance reforms. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 131(1), 157–218. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjv036

Jackson, K. (2018). Does School Spending Matter? (Working Paper 25368). National Bureau of Economic Research. http://www.nber.org/papers/w25368

Lafortune, J., & Schönholzer, D. (2022). The Impact of School Facility Investments on Students and Homeowners: Evidence from Los Angeles. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 14(3), 254–289. https://doi.org/10.1257/app.20200467

Rothstein, J., & Schanzenbach, D. W. (2021). Does Money Still Matter? Attainment and Earnings Effects of Post-1990 School Finance Reforms. 48.

[3] Baker, B. D. (2017). How Money Matters for Schools. Learning Policy Institute. https://learningpolicyinstitute.org/product/how-money-matters-report

Jackson, C. K., Johnson, R. C., & Persico, C. (2016). The effects of school spending on educational and economic outcomes: Evidence from school finance reforms. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 131(1), 157–218. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjv036

Finn, J. D., & Achilles, C. M. (1999). Tennessee’s Class Size Study: Findings, Implications, Misconceptions. Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis, 21(2), 97–109.

[4] Abbott decisions, a series of cases before the state Supreme Court that mandated that the Legislature increase funding to a select group of high-needs districts; https://edlawcenter.org/litigation/abbott-v-burke/abbott-history.html

[5] Baker, B. D. and Weber, M.A. (2022) New Jersey School Funding: The Higher the Goals, the Higher the Costs. Trenton, NJ: New Jersey Policy Perspective. https://www.njpp.org/publications/report/new-jersey-school-funding-the-higher-the-goals-the-higher-the-costs/

[6] Abbott XXI, 206 N.J. 332 (May 2011)

[7] Baker, B.D. and Weber, M.A. (2020) New Jersey’s School Funding Reform Act at 10 Years. Trenton, NJ: New Jersey Policy Perspective. http://www.njpp.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/NJPP-Bruce-Baker-School-Funding-Reform-Act-at-10-Years-Full-Report.pdf

[8] Baker, B. D. and Weber, M.A. (2022) New Jersey School Funding: The Higher the Goals, the Higher the Costs. Trenton, NJ: New Jersey Policy Perspective. https://www.njpp.org/publications/report/new-jersey-school-funding-the-higher-the-goals-the-higher-the-costs/

[9] Baker, B. D. and Weber, M.A. (2022) New Jersey School Funding: The Higher the Goals, the Higher the Costs. Trenton, NJ: New Jersey Policy Perspective. https://www.njpp.org/publications/report/new-jersey-school-funding-the-higher-the-goals-the-higher-the-costs/

[10] https://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/

[11] New Jersey Assessment of Skills and Knowledge.

[12] The Partnership for Assessment of Readiness for College and Careers.

[13] New Jersey Student Learning Assessments.

[14] Baker, B.D. and Weber, M.A. (2020) New Jersey’s School Funding Reform Act at 10 Years. Trenton, NJ: New Jersey Policy Perspective. http://www.njpp.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/NJPP-Bruce-Baker-School-Funding-Reform-Act-at-10-Years-Full-Report.pdf

[15] Taylor, L., Willis, J., Berg-Jacobson, A., Jaquet, K., & Caparas, R. (2018). Estimating the costs associated with reaching student achievement expectations for Kansas public education students: A cost function approach. San Francisco, CA: WestEd. Retrieved from https://probstforprogress.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/kansas_adequacy_study_cost_function_approach_20180315_final.pdf

Duncombe, W., Yinger, J. (2006) Estimating the Costs of Meeting Student Performance Outcomes Adopted by the Kansas State Board of Education. Prepared for the Kansas Legislative Division of Post Audit  https://www.maxwell.syr.edu/uploadedFiles/cpr/research/cpr_research_education_finance_policy/Kansas_Report.pdf

[16] Kolbe, T., Baker, B.D., Atchison, D., Levin, J. (2019) Pupil Weighting Factors Report. State of Vermont, House and Senate Committees on Education. https://legislature.vermont.gov/assets/Legislative-Reports/edu-legislative-report-pupil-weighting-factors-2019.pdf

See also: https://www.wcax.com/2022/05/24/vermont-per-pupil-spending-reform-bill-signed-into-law/

[17] Baker, B.D., Atchison, D., Levin, J., Kearns, C. (2020) New Hampshire Commission to Study School Funding, Final Report: https://carsey.unh.edu/sites/default/files/media/2020/09/20-12685_nh_final_report_version_v5_draft_1.pdf

[18] Baker, B.D., Di Carlo, M., Weber, M. (2022) Ensuring Adequate Education Funding for All: A New Federal Foundation Aid Formula. Albert Shanker Institute: https://www.shankerinstitute.org/fedformula

Baker, B.D., Di Carlo, M., Weber, M. (2021) The Adequacy of School District Spending in the U.S. Albert Shanker Institute. https://www.schoolfinancedata.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/SFID_DCDbrief_Mar2021.pdf

[19] Baker, B.D. and Weber, M.A. (2022). School Funding in New Jersey: A Fair Future for All. Trenton, NJ: New Jersey Policy Perspective. https://www.njpp.org/publications/report/school-funding-in-new-jersey-a-fair-future-for-all/

[20] Baker, B.D., Di Carlo, M., Weber, M. (2022) Ensuring Adequate Education Funding for All: A New Federal Foundation Aid Formula. Albert Shanker Institute: https://www.shankerinstitute.org/fedformula

Baker, B.D., Di Carlo, M., Weber, M. (2021) The Adequacy of School District Spending in the U.S. Albert Shanker Institute. https://www.schoolfinancedata.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/SFID_DCDbrief_Mar2021.pdf

New Jersey’s Black Students Suffer a Decline in Access to School Mental Health Staff

Concern about the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic, along with renewed fears about school shootings, have put the mental health of New Jersey’s students into the spotlight.[i] Federal data show 74 percent of public schools in the Northeast report an increase in students seeking mental health services since the start of the pandemic.[ii] The state Legislature has responded by introducing several bills that directly address the need for schools to take an active role in identifying and treating student mental health issues.[iii]

Given these serious concerns, it is important to assess recent trends in New Jersey schools’ capacity to address students’ mental health. This report looks at these trends through a racial justice lens, specifically addressing this question: How has access to school mental health staff changed for Black, white, Hispanic/Latinx, Asian, and other students over the past decade?

Analysis of the available data shows a clear trend: While access to mental health staff for white and Asian students has increased over the past several years, it has decreased for Black students. A decade ago, Black and Hispanic/Latinx students had an advantage over white students in access to mental health staff; now white students have the advantage (albeit a small one).

Given New Jersey’s much higher poverty rates for children of color, and the profound influence poverty has on mental health, these trends are a cause for great concern. Additionally, studies show that school districts that enroll more students of color are more likely to impose disciplinary actions on their students, compounding this growing inequity. In other words: New Jersey’s Black and Hispanic/Latinx students are more likely to live in poverty and more likely to be suspended from school, even as their access to mental health professionals is decreasing.

Uneven Access to Mental Health Staff

Student mental health problems can be identified and treated by a variety of school staff. We include the following positions in the overall category of school mental health staff: nurses, counselors, psychologists, social workers, anti-bullying specialists, and substance use coordinators. The figure below shows the changes since 2008 in access to these staff for students of different races and ethnicities (see the “Methodology” section below for details).

Fewer School Mental Health Staff for Black Students, More for White Students

In 2008, all public schools in New Jersey had, on average, 8.2 mental health staff per 1,000 students; this rose to 8.6 staff per 1,000 in 2020. During the same period, mental health staff per 1,000 white students rose from 7.4 to 8.5.

In contrast, mental health staff per 1,000 Black students decreased from 10.3 to 8.5. For Hispanic/Latinx students, the figures declined from 9.0 to 8.4 per 1,000. In other words: During a period where access to mental health staff increased for New Jersey’s white and Asian students, access for Black and Hispanic/Latinx students decreased.

These trends have not been uniform across all mental health staff positions. The figure below shows trends by race/ethnicity for school nurses: while the number of nurses per 1,000 students has increased for white students, it has declined for Black and Hispanic/Latinx students. Notably, nurse staffing for Asian students remains considerably lower than for other races/ethnicities.

Number of School Nurses Declines for Black and Hispanic Students

Over the same period, school counselor staffing has changed dramatically. In 2008, there were 2.7 counselors per 1,000 white students; this rose to 3.2 per 1,000 by 2020. In contrast, Black students had 4 counselors per 1,000 in 2008; this dropped to 2.6 per 1,000 by 2020. It should be noted that the American School Counselor Association recommends 4 counselors per 1,000 students; overall, New Jersey remains far behind this goal.[iv]

More School Counselors for White Students, But a Sharp Decline for Black & Hispanic Students

Black and Hispanic/Latinx students still have an advantage in social workers per 1,000 students over white and Asian students. The gap, however, is narrowing, as the number of social workers for Black and Hispanic/Latinx students has declined.

Still More Social Workers for Black & Hispanic Students, But the Gap is Closing

Why Mental Health Staffing for Schools Matters, Especially for Students of Color

Some may argue that these trends in school mental health staffing reflect a move toward parity: A decade ago, white students had less access to these staff than children of color, but now their access is equivalent. This argument, however, fails to recognize a basic truth: New Jersey’s students of color are more likely to live in poverty than the state’s white students and, as a result, have greater mental health needs.

Poverty Rates Are Much Higher for Black and Hispanic Students Than for White and Asian Students

The poverty rates for Black/African-American and Hispanic/Latinx children are more than three times that for white or Asian children. This is critical, as a large body of research shows poverty has a profoundly negative impact on children’s mental health.[v] Certainly, more school mental health staff for white and Asian students would be, by itself, laudable; however, the accompanying trend of less access to these staff for Black and Hispanic/Latinx students raises serious concerns.

It is important to note that greater poverty rates and decreasing access to mental health staff for students of color are occurring in an environment where those same students are more likely to suffer harsh disciplinary consequences.

Students in School Districts with Greater Numbers of Black and Hispanic Students Spend More Days Out of School Due to Suspensions

As a New Jersey school district’s percentage of white students increases, it is, on average, less likely to have students miss school due to a disciplinary suspension.[vi] In contrast, schools with higher percentages of Black or Hispanic/Latinx students tend to have their students miss more days of school due to suspension. Research shows a clear link between student mental health and school discipline: when students feel supported and safe in school, disciplinary consequences diminish.[vii] The unequal discipline meted out to students of color is, therefore, yet another indicator that they are not getting access to the mental health supports they need.

As NJPP has previously reported, greater access to school staff of all sorts is directly influenced by school funding policies.[viii] Yet New Jersey’s students of color are much more likely to attend schools that are underfunded, according to the state’s own law, than white students.[ix] While the short-term infusion of federal school funds tied to the pandemic could help schools reverse trends in mental health staffing for students of color over a short period, longer-term funding solutions are necessary.

Such funding, however, should be guided by analyses like the one above. Lawmakers will not be able to address staffing trends that are racially unequal unless and until they are aware of them. Monitoring the deployment of school personnel of all types by student race—and by other student characteristics—should be the regular and ongoing work of policymakers.

Methodology

This report relies on two data sources from the New Jersey Department of Education: staffing files (obtained through Open Public Records Act requests) and enrollment files (available publicly at: https://www.nj.gov/education/doedata/enr/). All staffing files observations represent a school staffer, each with an accompanying job code. I aggregate the workers in different jobs for each school district (weighted by full-time equivalency); I then divide that aggregate by the total number of students in the district. These fractions of a staffer are then assigned to each student regardless of race/ethnicity. The numbers of students and the fractions of staff are then totaled across the state for each race/ethnicity category, as well as for all students. These figures are used to generate the “staff per 1,000 students” figures found in this report.


End Notes

[i] Wall, Patrick. (8/23/21) “How schools are racing to respond to a mental health crisis.” NJ Spotlight News. https://www.njspotlightnews.org/2021/08/student-mental-health-needs-nj-schools-response-pandemic/

[ii] 2022 School Pulse Panel, April findings. Institute of Education Sciences. https://ies.ed.gov/schoolsurvey/spp/#tab-4

[iii] Donyéa, Tennyson (6/10/22) “N.J. committee approves new school safety, teen mental health measures.” WHYY. https://whyy.org/articles/n-j-school-safety-teen-mental-health/

[iv] American School Counselor Association. “School Counselor Roles & Ratios” https://www.schoolcounselor.org/About-School-Counseling/School-Counselor-Roles-Ratios “Since 1965, ASCA has recommended a student-to-school counselor ratio of 250:1.” This translates to 4 counselors per 1,000 students.

[v] Schmidt, K. L., Merrill, S. M., Gill, R., Miller, G. E., Gadermann, A. M., & Kobor, M. S. (2021). Society to cell: How child poverty gets “Under the Skin” to influence child development and lifelong health. Developmental Review, 61, 100983. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dr.2021.100983
Gibson, K., Abraham, Q., Asher, I., Black, R., Turner, N., Waitoki, W., McMillan, N., Child Poverty Action Group (N.Z.), & New Zealand Psychological Society. (2017). Child poverty and mental health: A literature review. http://www.cpag.org.nz/assets/170516%20CPAGChildPovertyandMentalHealthreport-CS6_WEB.pdf

Evans, G. W. (2016). Childhood poverty and adult psychological well-being. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 113(52), 14949–14952. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1604756114
Coley, R. J., & Baker, B. D. (2013). Poverty and Education: Finding the Way Forward. ETS. https://www.ets.org/research/policy_research_reports/publications/report/2013/jqkw

[vi] We use data from the 2018-19 school year as this was the last full school year before the covid-19 pandemic caused school closures.

[vii] Prins, S. J., Kajeepeta, S., Hatzenbuehler, M. L., Branas, C. C., Metsch, L. R., & Russell, S. T. (2022). School Health Predictors of the School-to-Prison Pipeline: Substance Use and Developmental Risk and Resilience Factors. Journal of Adolescent Health, 70(3), 463–469. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jadohealth.2021.09.032 https://www.jahonline.org/article/S1054-139X(21)00491-2/fulltext

[viii] Weber, M. (2021) The Consequences of School Underfunding. New Jersey Policy Perspective: Trenton, NJ. https://www.njpp.org/publications/report/the-consequences-of-school-underfunding/

[ix] Weber, M. & Baker, B. (2020) School Funding in New Jersey: A Fair Future for All. New Jersey Policy Perspective: Trenton, NJ. https://www.njpp.org/publications/report/school-funding-in-new-jersey-a-fair-future-for-all/

Biden Student Debt Proposal Will Help New Jersey Families But Needs to Go Farther for Maximum Relief

Today, President Biden announced that borrowers earning up to $125,000 in income will be eligible for student loan debt relief of up to $10,000, or up to $20,000 for Pell Grant recipients. For a state with over 1.3 million student loan borrowers with an average balance of $37,000, this will be life-changing debt relief. New Jersey ranks 6th in the nation in the percentage of undergraduate students receiving Pell Grants – almost 39 percent of undergraduates. In response to today’s announcement, New Jersey Policy Perspective (NJPP) releases the following statement.

Nicole Rodriguez, President, NJPP:

“The President’s plan to forgive student loan debt will provide hundreds of thousands of New Jerseyans relief, allowing them to invest in their futures and families while bolstering the state’s economy. Canceling student loan debt is a critical step to building wealth and economic prosperity in New Jersey while narrowing the racial wealth gap. Higher education is held up as a ladder of opportunity to success, but the explosive growth in student debt holds back borrowers from achieving their full potential.

“While this plan will provide transformative relief to some borrowers, it does not go far enough. Capping income levels will not only leave many borrowers behind but require an entire apparatus of applications and red tape when the federal government could have canceled this debt with the push of a button. And the $10,000 does not come close to covering the average balance of nearly $40,000 for the average New Jersey borrower. Beyond the debt relief itself, more must be done to ensure adequate public funding for higher education: No student should have to take on crushing debt to pursue higher education.”

 
# # #
 
New Jersey Policy Perspective (NJPP) is a nonpartisan think tank that drives policy change to advance economic, social, and racial justice through evidence-based, independent research, analysis, and advocacy.

New Jersey’s Teacher Pipeline: The Decline in Teacher Candidates Continues

A teacher shortage is hitting the nation, and New Jersey is no exception.[1] The problem has become so widespread that the Legislature’s Joint Committee on Public Schools recently held hearings on the issue, at which school leaders described shrinking hiring pools, fewer certificated teachers being available as long-term substitutes, and a surge of retirements. [2]

Schools can adequately replace these teachers if enough well-educated workers consider a career in public education. Unfortunately, even before the increased pressures on teachers and more school staff considered leaving their positions, fewer candidates were enrolling in and completing teacher training programs. If New Jersey does not act soon, there will not be enough qualified candidates to replace teachers leaving the profession.

The Decline in New Jersey Teacher Candidates Continues

The number of those completing teacher preparation has declined sharply in New Jersey. The 2018-19 school year was the first time in two decades when the number of New Jersey’s new teacher candidates was below 3,000, according to the most recently available data.[3]

New Jersey Has Far Fewer Teacher Candidates Than a Decade Ago, Despite Recent Uptick

Decreases in the number of students do not explain the teacher decline. Seven years ago,  almost five people completed teacher preparation for every 1,000 students in New Jersey; now, there are barely two.

New Jersey Colleges and Universities Produce Fewer Teachers Than the Rest of the US

On top of that, New Jersey’s colleges and universities – the providers of teacher training– produce far fewer teachers per 1,000 students than the rest of the nation, suggesting that the Garden State might be over reliant on out-of-state teacher trainings programs.

Not all teacher training programs lead to college degrees that prepare candidates for a career in teaching. But the number of teaching degrees awarded in a year is still an important measure of educator recruitment. The most recent data is troubling: New Jersey’s colleges and universities awarded a record low number of teaching degrees in 2020.[4]

Number of New Jersey College Students Earning Teaching Degrees Is Rapidly Declining

Some reports have noted that teacher shortages are particularly acute in math, science, and special education.[5] To explore this issue, the graph below shows the proportion of the number of people completing teacher training programs and earning credentials in a variety of areas. The graph also shows these proportions for the New Jersey teacher workforce in the same year.[6] As an example: 41 percent of the teacher candidates who completed their programs in 2018-19 earned a credential in elementary education. In contrast, 32 percent of the teacher workforce held a position teaching in elementary education that same year.

Majority of Teacher Jobs and Candidates Are in Elementary and Special Education

For the reasons below, the solution to the problem of teacher shortages is not simply to shift teacher candidates away from areas such as elementary education and toward math and other understaffed areas.

  • While math and science teacher candidates are proportionally “underproduced” compared to elementary candidates, the same is true for foreign language and art teachers, as well as, to a lesser degree, music, and physical education teachers. So the problem of “underproducing” teachers is not confined to only a few curricular areas.
  • Though special education is reportedly a hard-to-staff area, teacher candidates are proportionally overproduced, albeit by a slim margin. Shifting more teachers away from elementary and toward special education might help, but only if there are enough overall certifications to meet school districts’ staffing needs in all areas of teaching.
  • Even if elementary teachers are “overproduced,” excess teachers are needed for positions as long-term and short-term substitutes. As numerous school leaders testified before the Joint Committee on the Public Schools, the lack of qualified personnel to fill teaching positions during maternity leaves and sick leaves, or due to mid-year retirements, has become a serious problem.[7] Having more certificated candidates than full-time positions creates a pool of qualified workers who are available to fill these jobs.

 

Recommendations

While getting teacher candidates to consider teaching in hard-to-staff areas is important, there is little evidence that this alone will solve the current teaching shortage, especially if those completing teacher preparation programs find the profession unsatisfying and opt to leave after a short time for other careers. To deal with teacher shortages, getting more overall qualified candidates to enter and remain in the teaching profession must be the primary goal. These recommendations should be considered to improve the recruitment and retention of teachers:

  • Increase teacher compensation to attract the best candidates. Recent research confirms a well-documented “teacher wage gap,”  even when benefits are considered in addition to salary.[8] In today’s tight labor market, school districts are at a disadvantage compared to fields that can offer better wages, flexible schedules, and less pressure in the workplace.
  • Shore up the state teacher pension system and stop degrading teacher health care benefits. As NJPP reported previously, teacher retirement and health care benefits have eroded over the past decade[9] And this affects newer teachers more than veterans. New pension “tiers,” for example, have led to benefits packages that are substantially less generous for teachers in their 20s and 30s compared to those earned by older teachers.[10] If degraded benefits are not replaced with better wages, young, well-qualified job aspirants will have even less incentive to become teachers.
  • Streamline the process of obtaining a teacher certification as much as possible without sacrificing rigor. The state continues to implement programs like EdTPA, a portfolio assessment for student teachers, that recent research shows to be both ineffective and potentially harmful. These barriers to entry should be removed immediately.[11]
  • All of the state’s teacher preparation providers should continue to work together to attract teacher candidates of color. Research shows there are many benefits to a diverse teacher workforce.[12] New Jersey should expand its programs to recruit and retain teachers of color.
  • New Jersey’s leaders should commit to improving the state’s level of appreciation and regard for its educators. Teachers have been caught in the middle of culture war battles over masking, critical race theory, gender identity, sexual orientation, and other issues. New Jersey, unlike other states, has wisely avoided introducing controversial laws that would surveil and punish teachers (and students) for simply doing their jobs. Policymakers must continue, through their words and actions, to send a clear message to prospective teachers that New Jersey values its educators, sees them as professionals, and supports their work.

 


End Notes

[1] Cooper, D. and Hickey, S.M. (February 3, 2022) Raising pay in public K–12 schools is critical to solving staffing shortages. Economic Policy Institute. https://www.epi.org/publication/solving-k-12-staffing-shortages/

[2] Joint Committee on the Public Schools, NJ Legislature. Tuesday, February 22, 2022 https://www.njleg.state.nj.us/live-proceedings/2022-02-22-10:00:00/JPS/Meeting

[3] Figures for 2016-17 and 2017-18 do not match our 2019 report as those figures were updated in later data releases.

[4] To determine the number of degrees awarded that are directly relevant to teaching, I sum the number of bachelor’s and master’s degrees awarded in education and add certificates above the baccalaureate level. I only include institutions that are designated in the IPEDS data as offering teacher certification. I then subtract all degrees with Classification of Instructional Programs (CIP) codes designated as the following: Curriculum and instruction; Educational Administration and Supervision; Educational/Instructional Media Design; Educational Assessment, Evaluation, and Research; Social and Philosophical Foundations of Education; Education, Other. This method likely overstates the number of degrees awarded that would be directly relevant to teaching, as degrees that do not lead to certification may still be included in the total.

[5] Teacher Shortage Areas. U.S. Department of Education. https://tsa.ed.gov/#/home/

[6] The Title II data includes subject area codes that align with staffing data from the NJDOE; however, there are differences. For this graph, I exclude all observations in the staffing data that designate staff as administrators, teacher coaches, educational service providers (counselors, nurses, etc.), or non-certificated staff. I also exclude teachers of family and consumer sciences, industrial arts, and vocational education; these areas are not included in the Title II data. Special education positions are designated in the staffing data by their “jobcode subcategory”; I align these positions with the Title II codes for teachers of students with disabilities, teachers of deaf or hard of hearing students, or teachers of blind or visually impaired students. All of these categories are designated “special education” in the graph. Teachers of middle grades (5-8) are assigned to curricular areas; for example, a teacher with a “Mathematics Grades 5-8” jobcode is designated as teaching math. Elementary teachers, including those with jobcodes in elementary math, English, science, and social studies are assigned to the “elementary” category. For teachers with multiple job codes I use the first code designated (“job code 1”).

[7] Jennings, Rob (2/22/22). “Teacher shortage is a ‘crisis,’ N.J. state legislators say after educators raise alarm.” NJ.com. https://www.nj.com/education/2022/02/teacher-shortage-is-a-crisis-nj-state-legislators-say-after-educators-raise-alarm.html

[8] Cooper, D. and Hickey, S.M. (February 3, 2022) Raising pay in public K–12 schools is critical to solving staffing shortages. Economic Policy Institute. https://www.epi.org/publication/solving-k-12-staffing-shortages/
Weber, M. (2019) New Jersey’s Teacher Workforce, 2019: Diversity Lags, Wage Gap Persists, pp. 26-28. https://www.njpp.org/reports/in-brief-new-jerseys-teacher-workforce-2019-diversity-lags-and-wage-gap-persists.

[9] Weber, M. (2019) New Jersey’s Teacher Workforce, 2019: Diversity Lags, Wage Gap Persists, pp. 26-28. https://www.njpp.org/reports/in-brief-new-jerseys-teacher-workforce-2019-diversity-lags-and-wage-gap-persists.

[10] “Retirement Planning Member Guidebook” (January, 2022). New Jersey Department of Pensions and Benefits. https://www.nj.gov/treasury/pensions/documents/forms/sp0774.pdf

[11] Gitomer, D. H., Martínez, J. F., Battey, D., & Hyland, N. E. (2019). Assessing the Assessment: Evidence of Reliability and Validity in the edTPA. American Educational Research Journal. https://doi.org/10.3102/0002831219890608
Chung, Bobby W., and Jian Zou. (2021). Teacher Licensing, Teacher Supply, and Student Achievement: Nationwide Implementation of edTPA. (EdWorkingPaper: 21-440). Retrieved from Annenberg Institute at Brown University: https://doi.org/10.26300/ppz4-gv19

[12] Weber, M. (2019) New Jersey’s Teacher Workforce, 2019: Diversity Lags, Wage Gap Persists, pp. 26-28. https://www.njpp.org/reports/in-brief-new-jerseys-teacher-workforce-2019-diversity-lags-and-wage-gap-persists.