Tax Breaks or Bust: New Jersey’s Misguided Approach to Economic Development in Camden

This is a version of remarks presented at the conference, State and Local Economic Development Policy: What Works for Distressed U.S. Cities?, hosted by Rutgers University-Camden and the Scholars Strategy Network on April 19, 2016. A condensed version of this blog ran as an op-ed in the April 27, 2016 edition of the Courier-Post.

In 2013, the governor and legislature cooperated to enact a law that fundamentally rewrote  New Jersey’s business tax subsidy programs. Among other things, the overhaul greatly expanded the cost of these programs, loosened standards and minimum requirements for corporations receiving the tax subsidies, and removed safeguards that protected taxpayers. The legislation also heavily favored new projects in Camden, with a special formula that only Camden qualified for that took loose standards, low requirements and big-time financial rewards for corporations to a new level.

The idea was that as one the nation’s most distressed cities – and certainly the most distressed in New Jersey – that Camden needed an extraordinarily large government lever to get private investment flowing into the city.

Since then, we’ve seen more investment coming into Camden than we probably have in decades. Supporters of this strategy like to point to that as success. Case closed.

But the reality is far more complicated, and it raises a host of important economic development policy questions for all of New Jersey.

Do tax breaks really help a distressed city if they aren’t accompanied by public investment in a city’s basic physical, social and economic infrastructure? How generous is too generous, when it comes to tax breaks? What role does the state have in ensuring that these tax breaks come with enforceable corporate requirements for rebuilding a local economy and employing local residents? And, ultimately, who has more power and leverage in this equation: the state (and, by extension, the city), or corporations?

Opening the Floodgates

Since December 2013, the state of New Jersey has approved $1.1 billion in incentives to 17 companies relocating to, or pledging to stay in, Camden.

In return, these corporations are accountable for, frankly, very little. That’s the core problem with how state policymakers have addressed revitalizing Camden through tax incentives: The law governing these subsidies is overly generous to corporations, bares little teeth when it comes to helping the local economy or growing local jobs, and comes with heavy risk to all the taxpayers of New Jersey – which, of course, include the residents and business owners of Camden.

Let’s look first at jobs.

The 17 companies are required to maintain 3,897 jobs in Camden as part of their deal to receive the $1.1 billion. When measured as cost per each job, these Camden deals are literally off the charts, at an average cost of $293,000 for a single job.

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But there’s more to this story. Of those 3,897 jobs, only 36% are new to the state of New Jersey. The rest already exist elsewhere in the state, and are already filled by employees. In the case of Camden, most of these so-called “retained” jobs are not only already in the state of New Jersey – they’re already in the Camden metro area, in Cherry Hill, Moorestown and other neighboring towns.

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So what’s that do for Camden’s economy? How does that help Camden’s residents who are struggling? Where’s the payoff?

Risky Business in the ‘Net Benefits Test’

Another major problem with New Jersey’s subsidy law as it plays out in Camden is a huge mismatch between the time a company is required to keep its commitment when compared with the time taxpayers must wait for the full benefits that triggered the tax break. The corporation pays lower taxes for ten years, can skedaddle after fifteen years with no penalty, while taxpayers must hold on for 35 years to realize the projected payback..

When a corporation applies for a tax subsidy from New Jersey, the state takes a variety of inputs – like the number of proposed jobs, their promised wages and other factors – and runs them through a formula designed to estimate the economic benefits to the state. This is what’s called the “net benefits test,” and it can be an important protection to taxpayers against really bad deals. But only if it’s designed properly.

In the past, in order to be approved for a tax break, most projects would need to deliver a benefit to the state of at least 110 percent – in other words, 10 percent more than the dollar value of the subsidy – over the same period that the company was committed to keeping the jobs in-state. This was usually 15 years. If the corporation didn’t meet those promised obligations, it would receive less of a tax break, or none at all.

Camden net benefits total-01But now, a project in Camden need only deliver a 100 percent benefit – in other words, break even – over 35 years. But the company is obligated to deliver the proposed jobs and economic activity for only 15 years at most. After that, it can move out of Camden or slash its workforce – and the state would have no recourse to claw back any of the tax credits that have already been issued.

The result is that New Jersey taxpayers are exposed to a huge amount of risk through these Camden projects. While the state touts a net economic benefit of $529 million from the Camden deals, the reality is that New Jersey is at risk of losing $273 million on them because of this one-sided arrangement.

A Case Study: Holtec International

Here is a great example of many of the shortcomings of New Jersey’s law governing these subsidies.

Holtec International was approved for a $260 million tax break to shift some existing New Jersey jobs to Camden and create some new ones at a manufacturing and engineering complex along the Delaware. In announcing the deal, Holtec said it would employ as many as 3,000 at the facility within five years of opening (just this weekend the Inquirer threw out a figure of 10,000 new jobs there). But the company’s deal with the state allows it to get its full tax break for locating a paltry 395 jobs at the facility.

As a result, the Holtec deal puts New Jersey taxpayers at great risk. If the company only met its obligations under the deal and nothing more, the state would lose $106 million – and that’s according to the state’s own estimates.

What’s more, Holtec’s CEO has pledged to hire people from Camden, as well as train local residents in the skills required to work there. This is all great – if it happens. But there are no requirements for the company to do so in order to receive the tax break.

These types of requirements – for local hiring preferences, targeted job training programs, even local beautification or community volunteering – could have, and should have, been written into the law governing these programs. If the state is going so far out on a limb here, putting up $300,000 in taxpayer funds per job, with the rationale that this level of risk is necessary to help Camden turn the corner – shouldn’t it put more community benefits into these tax subsidy deals to actually boost the local economy and help local residents?

On community benefits, number of jobs, taxpayer risk and a handful of other metrics, the state of New Jersey erred too heavily on the side of business interests in creating the framework that governs these tax breaks. As a result, there are no guarantees that this strategy will actually work to significantly boost Camden. Instead, residents of Camden will have to hitch their economic hopes on trickle-down economic development from large office buildings filled mostly with suburban commuters, and promises from big corporations like Holtec. But it didn’t have to be that way, if only policymakers would have designed the state policy in a smarter, tougher, more effective way.

Price Hikes Weren’t on the Menu After Seattle Passed $15 Minimum Wage Law

Allowing working men and women to afford basic day-to-day needs by ensuring an adequate minimum wage is common sense policy that most New Jerseyans support. Despite history showing the positive effects that increasing the minimum wage has on employment and economic activity, opponents continue to trot out the same old claims of doom and gloom – claims that, unsurprisingly, never pan out. The situation in Seattle is no different, where opponents of the city’s minimum wage increase asserted that prices would drastically increase to the point that the policy would do more harm than good. Once again, these opponents have been proven wrong.

A newly released study by the University of Washington’s Evans School of Public Policy and Governance found “little or no evidence of price increases in Seattle relative to the surrounding area.” The research team surveyed 567 Seattle employers who paid their employees $15 an hour or less prior to the implementation of the minimum wage increase. Before the wage was raised, 62 percent of these employers said they would have to raise prices in order to accommodate the new wage floor. In the food service sector, 44 percent said they would raise prices and an additional 40 percent said they would raise prices and add a service charge on top. The study found that these promises never came to fruition.

Every time increasing the minimum wage is discussed, opponents warn with over the top hyperbole that doing so will lead to economic disaster, and every time they are proven wrong. It is past time that we acknowledge the opposition’s claims for what they are – scare tactics meant to prevent hard working people from being paid what they deserve. Adjusting and increasing the minimum wage is nothing new, and we have decades of experience with raising the minimum wage at local, state and national levels – experience that shows no correlation between increasing wages and significant price hikes, or widespread job loss.

For the sake of hard working New Jerseyans across the state, and the health of our economy, we need to increase the minimum wage to $15 as soon as possible. The benefits – a stronger workforce, happier and healthier employees, a more resilient economy – are too important to pass up.

Reality Check: David Tepper’s Move Will Hardly ‘Destroy’ New Jersey’s Budget

The breathless headlines that make for clickable stories and profitable media outlets don’t always make for an accurate understanding of an issue. Case in point: a recent wave of stories in outlets across the country about the effect that David Tepper’s move to Florida from New Jersey will have on our state’s budget.

Tepper, who was once New Jersey’s wealthiest man, has left for Florida, saying that “family considerations” – not taxes – were the main factor. Still, the modest but important impact that Tepper’s move will have on New Jersey’s budget is being used by opponents of a common sense tax structure as an example of why the state should move away from taxes being based largely on the ability to pay.

State budgets – and tax structures – are about more than managing risk, though they are about that too. More importantly, state budgets are  moral documents that reflect the values of a state by pinpointing priorities and determining who pays how much to make the state a great place to live for everyone. If the choice is between modest volatility and being equitable to everyone, we’ll take a tax structure that’s fair any day of the week.

At last week’s hearing on the proposed state budget, the Office of Legislative Services – in its usual rundown of revenue-forecasting risk – explained how Tepper’s move could affect income tax revenues.

OLS noted that a 1 percent forecasting error for income taxes could swing revenues by $140 million. Despite the widespread reports, it did not say that Tepper’s move would cost New Jersey $140 million. Without knowing how much income tax the hedge fund giant used to pay, it’s tough to put an absolute number on how much he’ll save on income taxes by moving to Florida, which has no income tax. But let’s say, for the sake of argument, that $140 million is the number.

While $140 million is nothing to sneeze at, particularly in New Jersey’s distressed financial climate, some perspective is helpful.

$140 million is less than 1 percent of the anticipated revenues in this year’s current budget. It’s only 18 percent of the state’s estimated surplus, which is one of the smallest in the country (and should be rebuilt to plan for contingencies like this, and other larger ones).

$140 million is also far less than most recent round of business tax cuts, which are costing the state $660 million a year in lost revenue. And it certainly pales in comparison to New Jersey’s recent surge in corporate tax subsidies, which have the state on the hook for nearly $7 billion in lost revenue over the next 10-15 years.

And despite all the doom and gloom, it’s also worth reiterating a crucial point: New Jersey is losing its wealthiest resident, but it is not losing wealthy residents. In fact, the state is a very attractive place for wealthy people to live, work and raise families.

Between 2003 and 2013, the number of New Jersey households with incomes over $500,000 almost doubled, jumping to 53,212 from 28,178, according to the state’s annual comprehensive financial audits. It’s worth noting that this growth occurred during a time that income taxes were raised not once but twice on these wealthy households.

New Jersey also has the third most millionaire households on a per-capita basis in the nation, according to one wealth management firm’s estimates. And the share of these households with over $1 million in “investable assets” has grown to 7.1 percent of all households in 2014 from 6.5 percent in 2006, representing an increase of about 25,000 millionaire households.

So let’s hope that Mr. Tepper enjoys being closer to his family, and all that Florida sunshine. He can do so with a clear conscience, knowing that his move hasn’t wrecked New Jersey’s finances. And those who don’t much care if New Jersey’s tax system is equitable or not should stop using him as the poster boy for their pet cause.

Join Us: Immigration Policy Briefing, April 25 in Trenton

Denying drivers’ licenses to undocumented residents makes everyone less safe. Other states have faced the facts on this issue, while New Jersey lags behind.

New Jersey Policy Perspective invites you to join our own experts and a panel of distinguished guests for a special briefing on on this road safety and social justice issue – and the prospects for progress in New Jersey.

What: “The Case for Safety: How NJ Endangers Everyone by Denying Drivers’ Licenses to Undocumented Residents,” a panel discussion featuring:

• Senator Joseph Vitale, Chair of the Senate Committee on Health, Human Services and Senior Citizens
• Kamal Essaheb, Director of Policy and Advocacy, the National Immigration Law Center
• Johanna Calle of the New Jersey Alliance for Immigrant Justice
• Erika Nava, NJPP Analyst

Where: The Historic Masonic Temple of Trenton, 100 Barrack Street, Trenton, NJ

When: Monday, April 25 at 9:30 a.m. (doors open at 9 am for a breakfast reception)

Seating will be very limited. To RSVP, please email me at carly (at) njpp.org by Wednesday, April 20.

I hope you can join NJPP and our distinguished guests for this important conversation.

NJPP’s Ray Castro Lands On ‘Power 50’ Health Care List

Congratulations to New Jersey Policy Perspective’s senior policy analyst Ray Castro, who landed on this year’s “Power 50 Health Care” list compiled by NJ Biz. Castro shared the number 48 spot with Rutgers University Center for State Health Policy director Joel Cantor; both were included for their “intelligent insights on the health industry.”

“He’s very good,” one insider said of Castro. “He talks to all sorts of folks and helps them be more informed for positions they take.”

New Jersey Has Lost its Wealthiest Resident But That Doesn’t Change the Facts About Wealth and Taxes

Yesterday news reports surfaced that David Tepper, once the wealthiest resident of the Garden State, has decamped for Florida. The article said that “family considerations” were the “main factor” behind Tepper’s move. But that didn’t stop some pundits and lobbyists who’d like to cut taxes for other wealthy families from pointing to taxes as another key factor. That chorus will likely grow louder, and Tepper’s move will likely become part of the well-worn tale about how New Jersey can’t seem to hold onto wealthy people, because our taxes are too damn high.

The problem with that tale is it’s just not true.

In fact, New Jersey continues to be a top state in its ability to grow wealthy residents, who come or stay here for well-paid jobs and excellent opportunities for their careers and their families. A few quick facts:

Between 2003 and 2013, the number of New Jersey households with incomes over $500,000 increased by 89 percent, jumping to 53,212 from 28,178, according to the state’s annual comprehensive financial audits. It’s worth noting that this growth occurred during a time that income taxes were raised not once but twice on these wealthy households.

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New Jersey also has the third most millionaire households on a per-capita basis in the nation, according to one wealth management firm’s estimates. And the share of these households, with over $1 million in “investable assets,” has grown to 7.1 percent of all households in 2014 from 6.5 percent in 2006, representing an increase of about 25,000 millionaire households.

The bottom line is that while New Jersey may lose some wealthy residents in any given year, such as Mr. Tepper, the so-called “exodus” of wealth is a manufactured crisis created by lobbyists who are seeking to reduce taxes for corporations and the wealthy – and it has no basis in reality.

Increasing New Jersey’s EITC to 40 Percent Would Make Tax Structure More Equitable

Increasing New Jersey’s Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) could boost the incomes of nearly 600,000 working families in the state who aren’t paid enough to get by, lift or keep many of these people out of poverty and give kids in these families a better shot at success later in life, as my colleague Brandon McKoy noted in legislative testimony earlier this week.

But increasing the state EITC to 40 percent would also help make New Jersey’s state and local tax structure more equitable by reducing the share of income the state’s residents contribute in taxes.

As it stands now, New Jersey taxpayers who make less than $22,000 a year – the bottom 20 percent – pay the highest share of their income towards state and local taxes. That’s because, even with a state income tax that is highly progressive and based on the ability to pay, other state and local taxes – namely property and sales taxes – are regressive and help tip the overall scales of the structure out of balance.

If policymakers increase the EITC to 40 percent, those poorest households would still pay the largest share of their incomes towards taxes, but not by nearly as much.

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More Riders, Less Investment: A Blueprint for Failure on Public Transit in New Jersey

Public transit is more than just getting from Point A to Point B – it’s the future engine of success for our state, with the potential to create a stronger economy, cleaner environment and more equitable transportation options for low- and moderate-income residents. Yet despite transit’s clear benefit to New Jersey, the state has systematically shirked its responsibility to invest the dollars necessary to create a world-class public transit system that is reliable and affordable.

That’s the opening paragraph in a new report released yesterday by the New Jersey For Transit coalition, of which NJPP is a founding member and co-chair. The report, “Stuck at the Station,” quantifies what my fellow transit riders intuitively know: That declining state investment has led to a “product” that is of a higher cost and lower quality than it should be.

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Here are the report’s key findings:

• Since 2002, New Jersey’s annual capital investment in maintaining, repairing and expanding its core public transit assets has dropped by an inflation-adjusted 19 percent, even as ridership has grown by 20 percent. (The drop is even more severe when measured from the high funding point of 2004; the decline in capital funding is 29 percent from 2004 to 2016.)

• This drop in capital funding for NJ Transit has been made worse by meager state support of NJ Transit’s operating costs, which has led the agency to continually use capital funds to literally keep trains and buses running.

• The lack of investment has stalled all of the state’s major transit expansion projects, and has led to stagnant funding for maintenance of NJ Transit’s existing bus and train assets.

• New Jersey’s declining direct state support for NJ Transit’s day-to-day operating costs has also led the agency to increasingly rely on fare hikes and fund raids from other parts of the state budget to balance its annual budgets.

• NJ Transit’s train system suffers from more breakdowns and equipment failures than most other transit agencies in the nation and our regional peers.

At a press conference releasing the report yesterday, members of the coalition were joined by Assembly Speaker Prieto and Assembly Deputy Speaker Wisniewski, who urged their colleagues and the governor to come together to replenish the state’s near-bankrupt Transportation Trust Fund and prioritize funding for transit. A full video of the press conference is below:

NJPP Launches Kathleen Crotty Fellowship

kathleen-crotty1New Jersey Policy Perspective is launching a summer fellowship to honor our late board chair, Kathy Crotty.

Kathy was a groundbreaking force in New Jersey public life. She served as the executive director of the state Senate Democratic Office from 1986 until she retired in 2009 – the first woman to lead one of the legislature’s partisan offices. A longtime advocate for women in public office, and a renowned mentor and advocate for people starting careers in public service, Kathy set high standards in recruiting and nurturing the Senate office’s policy staff.

The Kathleen Crotty Fellowship will honor Kathy’s legacy by providing an eager student committed to public service with an intensive summer experience working in New Jersey policy and advocacy, under the guidance of experienced mentors at NJPP. Crotty Fellows will participate actively in the research and writing of reports, op-eds and blog posts for publication, and will join NJPP analysts in outreach and coalition work. Fellows should come away with experience and networks to help them launch successful careers in New Jersey public service. Fellows will receive a $10,000 stipend.

For more details on the Fellowship and information on how to apply, please see the full description here.

New Jersey’s Investment in Infrastructure is Fifth Lowest in Nation

New Jersey is among the states investing the least on public infrastructure that is vital to creating good jobs and promoting full economic recovery. The Garden State has spent the fifth lowest amount on transportation, water treatment systems, and other forms of essential infrastructure in the past ten years, when measured as a share of state’s economy.

New Jersey’s investment in all types of capital improvements – which is vital to creating good jobs and promoting a full economic recovery – has also been declining, from 1.76 percent of the state’s economy in 2004 to 1.4 percent in 2013. That’s a 20 percent drop that helped move New Jersey seven spots down the rankings of state investment, from 12th lowest in 2004 to 5th lowest in 2013.

These figures come from It’s Time for States to Invest inInfrastructure,” a new report released this week by the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, a national partner of New Jersey Policy Perspective. The author, Senior Fellow Elizabeth C. McNichol, shows that now is the time for New Jersey to reverse years of decline and step up investment in better highways, public transit, and ports.

The report, which comes about four months before New Jersey runs out of money to invest in transportation infrastructure projects, illustrates the clear need for the Garden State to not only renew the Transportation Trust Fund but to increase the paltry amount of investment it’s been making in transportation infrastructure – an increase that can only occur if New Jersey increases its second-lowest-in-the-nation taxes on gasoline. It’s clear that the modest impact of the increased tax on most New Jerseyans would be a wise investment that would pay enormous dividends for the state’s economy.

The one asset that no competing state can match is New Jersey’s location in the middle of the largest consumer market in the world with access to both New York and Philadelphia. But that asset only counts if the state invests heavily in modernizing, improving and expanding it transportation networks. Our future prosperity depends on it.

The report’s findings make clear that investment in unmet infrastructure needs will improve New Jersey’s economy now and in the future. Modernizing transportation systems and other infrastructure boosts productivity by supporting businesses and residents, improving the education and job readiness of future workers, and helping communities to thrive. Key infrastructure improvements also will provide immediate job opportunities for New Jerseyans who are working less than they would like and making less than it takes to get by. Infrastructure investments typically bring higher wages and better quality of life for years in the future.

The report finds that every state needs infrastructure improvements that have the potential to significantly boost private sector investment and long-term economic growth, and warns that neglecting infrastructure has serious consequences for a state’s growth and quality of life.

“States must turn their attention back to the type of infrastructure investments that will boost productivity, support business growth, create jobs, provide a healthier environment, and improve opportunities for all of their residents,” McNichol wrote. “States continue to ignore needed investments at the country’s peril.”

Despite dramatic evidence of the benefits of infrastructure investment, decades of neglect have led New Jersey’s residents and businesses to grapple every day with crumbling roads, outdated public transit systems, and unsafe bridges. The annual cost of New Jersey’s repair-thirsty roads alone is $3.6 billion, or $605 per motorist each year, according to the American Society of Civil Engineers. Add to that the costs of New Jersey’s rickety commuter train network, which had more than 200 major breakdowns in 2014 (four times worse than the national average) on top of countless major delays, and it’s clear that the lack of investment in transportation is costing the Garden State serious dollars and harming the state’s business climate.

Despite the fact that New Jersey’s low fuel taxes haven’t been increased in 26 years, state policymakers have delayed action on fixing this transportation-funding mess, and many are now insisting on “trading” a desperately-needed fuel tax increase with an elimination of, or major cuts to, taxes on inherited wealth in the name of “tax fairness.”

This is not only the polar opposite of “fairness” – a proposed elimination of a tax that only the wealthiest 4 percent of New Jersey estates pay in exchange for a tax increase that would affect poor and working families the most – it’s also a poor strategy for economic growth and a poor choice for New Jersey because tax cuts take resources away from public universities, and other investments that produce a talented workforce and support business’s needs. The report warns that paying for infrastructure improvements by cutting support for other services is a short-sighted choice that reduces the long term benefit.